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601985:SSEChina National Nuclear Power Co. Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-27 - not real-time

CN¥8.86

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at CNY 8.86, just below its 20‑day SMA of 8.91 and the 200‑day SMA of 8.90, indicating modest downside pressure. Momentum indicators are mixed, with an RSI of 46 suggesting an neutral stance while the MACD histogram is positive, giving the signal a “bullish” label. Trading volume has been rising, supporting the recent price action and hinting at heightened market interest. The 30‑day volatility of nearly 20 % is high for a utilities play, yet the beta of roughly 0.1‑0.2 confirms that the stock moves little with broader market swings. The technical picture therefore leans toward a cautious optimism, but the price remains sandwiched between a support of 8.70 and resistance near 9.15. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.7) adds a speculative flavor to the otherwise defensive profile.
Fundamentally, revenue fell 6.6 % YoY, but the company still posts a solid operating margin of 36.7 % and a gross margin close to 39 %. Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow of CNY 39.8 bn, yet free cash flow is negative due to heavy capital spending. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged – total debt of CNY 467 bn translates to a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 200, a red flag for long‑term solvency. The dividend yield of 3.8 % is attractive, but a payout ratio of roughly 45 % of cash flow raises questions about sustainability under the current debt load. Forward earnings are priced at a forward PE of 17.7, below the industry average of 21.4, implying that the market expects earnings improvement. Given the strategic importance of nuclear and renewable assets, regulatory risk is moderate, while the company’s state‑backed ownership mitigates some geopolitical concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near support
  • bullish MACD histogram
  • high debt levels

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • forward PE discount to industry
  • attractive dividend yield
  • state‑backed ownership reducing default risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • strategic nuclear and renewable capacity expansion
  • regulatory environment stability
  • debt reduction required for sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.60%
Profit Margin10.20%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE7.02%
ROA2.35%
Debt/Equity196.72
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥39.8B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-57637261312
Industry P/E21.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.0
SupportCN¥8.70
ResistanceCN¥9.15
MA 20CN¥8.91
MA 50CN¥8.98
MA 200CN¥8.90
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.73

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.82%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility19.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.