601636:SSEZhuzhou Kibing Group Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
CN¥6.92
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at ¥6.92, below its 20‑day SMA of ¥7.19 but still above the 50‑day SMA of ¥6.76, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within an overall bullish trend. RSI sits near 48 (neutral) while the MACD histogram is negative, signaling bearish momentum, and the price hovers just above the calculated support of ¥6.69 with resistance near ¥7.70. Volatility is elevated at 50% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.18 suggests limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, revenue grew 19% year‑over‑year, but margins remain thin (gross 9%, operating 4%) and free cash flow is negative, compounded by a high debt‑to‑equity of 105%. The DCF fair value of ¥8.07 implies upside potential, though the current PE of 33× exceeds the industry average of 29.5×, and dividend yield is modest at 0.64% with sustainability in question.
Fundamentally, revenue grew 19% year‑over‑year, but margins remain thin (gross 9%, operating 4%) and free cash flow is negative, compounded by a high debt‑to‑equity of 105%. The DCF fair value of ¥8.07 implies upside potential, though the current PE of 33× exceeds the industry average of 29.5×, and dividend yield is modest at 0.64% with sustainability in question.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day SMA
- Negative MACD histogram
- Proximity to support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 19%
- DCF fair value above market price
- Improving forward PE
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt load and negative free cash flow
- Low ROE and thin margins
- Stable beta and solid liquidity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.90%
Profit Margin3.78%
P/E Ratio33.0
ROE3.16%
ROA0.32%
Debt/Equity104.94
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1132096512
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.8
SupportCN¥6.69
ResistanceCN¥7.70
MA 20CN¥7.19
MA 50CN¥6.76
MA 200CN¥6.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.11
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥8.07
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility50.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.