600835:SSEShanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
CN¥24.23
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical (600835) is trading at CNY 24.23, comfortably below its 20‑day (CNY 26.23) and 200‑day (CNY 25.96) moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI of 31.5 suggests the stock is oversold, while a bearish MACD (line below signal) confirms downward momentum. Volume is rising, hinting at growing trader interest as the price hovers just above the technical support of CNY 23.60.
Fundamentally, the company faces a 5.9% revenue decline and modest profitability (gross margin 15%, ROE 7.8%). Valuation is mixed: a PE of 26.9 is slightly below the industry average of 29.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 20.38 is well under the current price, signaling overvaluation. The balance sheet is strong with CNY 14.38 bn cash versus minimal debt, supporting a dividend yield of 1.73% and a payout ratio of 69%, which appears sustainable.
Fundamentally, the company faces a 5.9% revenue decline and modest profitability (gross margin 15%, ROE 7.8%). Valuation is mixed: a PE of 26.9 is slightly below the industry average of 29.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 20.38 is well under the current price, signaling overvaluation. The balance sheet is strong with CNY 14.38 bn cash versus minimal debt, supporting a dividend yield of 1.73% and a payout ratio of 69%, which appears sustainable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at CNY 23.60
- Oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
- Bearish MACD confirming downward pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue contraction and low profitability
- Current price above DCF fair value
- Stable dividend but limited earnings growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained earnings pressure and negative growth outlook
- Overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
- Cyclical exposure in the specialty industrial machinery sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.90%
Profit Margin4.64%
P/E Ratio26.9
ROE7.83%
ROA1.43%
Debt/Equity0.42
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥765.0M
Free Cash FlowCN¥481.5M
Industry P/E29.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.5
SupportCN¥23.60
ResistanceCN¥28.64
MA 20CN¥26.23
MA 50CN¥27.96
MA 200CN¥25.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥20.38
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.73%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility37.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.