1276:HKEXJiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co.,Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
HK$65.35
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma trades at HK$65.35, well below its 20‑day SMA of 67.24 and far under the 50‑day (70.87) and 200‑day (72.65) averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The MACD is in a bearish configuration and RSI sits at 43, indicating limited upside momentum, while volume is trending higher, suggesting increasing participation in the downtrend. Fundamentally, the company boasts robust 12.7% revenue growth, an impressive 86% gross margin and strong cash generation (HK$40.5 bn cash, HK$8.45 bn free cash flow) with negligible debt, but its price‑earnings multiple of 49.9x far exceeds the industry average of 25.1x and the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$34.38, implying significant overvaluation. The Fear & Greed Index at 68.77 (Greed) reflects market optimism that may be outpacing fundamentals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all key SMAs indicating bearish trend
- MACD bearish divergence
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash generation and low debt providing financial resilience
- Revenue growth and high margins supporting earnings expansion
- Technical weakness may persist but fundamentals remain solid
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth in high‑margin oncology and specialty drugs
- Robust balance sheet with ample cash and minimal leverage
- Long‑term upside potential as the market re‑prices the company toward its intrinsic value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.70%
Profit Margin24.10%
P/E Ratio49.9
ROE14.34%
ROA8.37%
Debt/Equity0.14
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$11.9B
Free Cash FlowHK$8.5B
Industry P/E25.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.2
SupportHK$60.00
ResistanceHK$72.00
MA 20HK$67.24
MA 50HK$70.87
MA 200HK$72.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$34.38
Target PriceHK$99.87
Upside/Downside52.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility32.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.