7182:TSEJapan Post Bank Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥2,744.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Japan Post Bank posted a 7% revenue growth and a solid operating margin of 43%, supporting a trailing EPS of 120.2 JPY and a dividend yield of 2.6% with a payout ratio under 50%, indicating a sustainable income stream. However, its forward PE of 22.8 sits well above the industry average of 17.4, suggesting the stock is priced on optimism rather than fundamentals.
Technical indicators show the price trading above the 20‑day (2958) and 50‑day (2667) SMAs, confirming a bullish trend, while the RSI at ~46 points to neutral momentum and the MACD histogram remains negative, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Support around 2602 JPY and resistance near 3170 JPY frame the upside potential, and a low beta of 0.2 signals limited price swing relative to the market.
Technical indicators show the price trading above the 20‑day (2958) and 50‑day (2667) SMAs, confirming a bullish trend, while the RSI at ~46 points to neutral momentum and the MACD histogram remains negative, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Support around 2602 JPY and resistance near 3170 JPY frame the upside potential, and a low beta of 0.2 signals limited price swing relative to the market.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term SMAs indicating bullish bias
- Negative MACD histogram suggesting possible pull‑back
- Stable trading volume and low beta limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained earnings growth and solid operating margins
- Attractive dividend yield with comfortable payout ratio
- Support level well above recent lows providing downside cushion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong balance sheet with negligible debt‑to‑equity
- Government‑backed parent company reducing credit risk
- Low beta and consistent dividend make it a defensive hold
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.00%
Profit Margin27.07%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE5.31%
ROA0.21%
P/B Ratio1.0
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.7
Support¥2,602.00
Resistance¥3,169.00
MA 20¥2,958.45
MA 50¥2,666.66
MA 200¥1,966.74
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.39
Valuation
Target Price¥2,732.73
Upside/Downside-0.41%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility47.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.