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000027:SSEShenzhen Energy Group Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time

CN¥7.07

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shenzhen Energy Group is trading at a steep discount to its discounted cash‑flow estimate, suggesting substantial upside potential. Technical momentum is bullish, with the price above the 20‑day SMA, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI in the low‑60s indicating continued buying pressure. The company delivers a solid 2.14% dividend yield but faces sustainability concerns due to negative free cash flow and a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 100%. While earnings multiples (PE ~27×) are higher than the industry average, the forward PE of ~9.5× reflects improving profitability expectations.
Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and dividend income against the high leverage and cash‑flow constraints, positioning the stock as a potentially rewarding addition for those comfortable with utility‑sector exposure in China.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term moving averages
  • Discount to DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Improving forward PE indicating earnings acceleration
  • Stable regulated revenue base in utilities
  • Potential upside as market re‑prices debt concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term undervaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Diversified generation mix including renewable assets
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin4.26%
P/E Ratio27.2
ROE4.43%
ROA2.32%
Debt/Equity117.36
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥11.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-4182973952
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.9
SupportCN¥6.60
ResistanceCN¥7.19
MA 20CN¥6.82
MA 50CN¥6.78
MA 200CN¥6.69
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥19.82
Target PriceCN¥0.00
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.14%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility17.27%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.