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204320:KRXHL Mando Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

₩51,000.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HL Mando is trading at 51,000 KRW, notably below its 20‑day (56,730) and 50‑day (59,842) SMAs but above the 200‑day SMA (43,224), indicating short‑term weakness within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 40 hints at emerging oversold conditions, yet the bearish MACD (negative histogram) and decreasing volume suggest momentum is still slipping. Volatility is unusually high at 81 % over the past 30 days, while a low beta of 0.64 points to limited market‑wide correlation. Fundamentally, the company posts modest 7 % revenue growth, thin profit margins (~1 %), a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~88 %), but generates solid free cash flow (203 B KRW) that supports its 1.44 % dividend yield. The DCF‑derived fair value (≈43,894 KRW) sits well below the current price, flagging the stock as potentially overvalued in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend yield and reasonable payout ratio
  • Moderate revenue growth and attractive forward PE (~9x)
  • High leverage and thin profit margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term exposure to EV and autonomous‑driving markets
  • Consistent free cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
  • Value‑oriented valuation with upside potential if margins improve

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.90%
Profit Margin1.26%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE5.66%
ROA3.60%
Debt/Equity87.95
Op. Cash Flow₩591.5B
Free Cash Flow₩203.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.2
Support₩46,850.00
Resistance₩65,000.00
MA 20₩56,730.00
MA 50₩59,842.00
MA 200₩43,224.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.95

Valuation

Fair Value₩43,893.79
Target Price₩70,360.00
Upside/Downside37.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.64
Volatility81.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.