UTWY:NASDAQUS Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time
$41.09
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind F/m US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF is bearish at $41.09, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.0%. With RSI at 44.8 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $40.88 and resistance at $41.69.
The 0.15% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $8.2M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 8.6%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 9.6%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The 0.15% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $8.2M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 8.6%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 9.6%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Seeking Alpha16diShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF: Lower Duration Multiple Limits Downside RiskThe iShares 20+ Year...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 42.87
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 42.87
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Low expense ratio of 0.15%
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$8.2M
Inception Date2023-03-27
Avg Daily Volume2,000
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield5.24%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.8
Support$40.88
Resistance$41.69
MA 20$41.19
MA 50$41.59
MA 200$42.87
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility8.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.