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IMOS:NASDAQChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$40.90

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ChipMOS is trading at $40.90, comfortably above its 20‑day ($37.97) and 50‑day ($37.54) simple moving averages and even above the 200‑day SMA ($26.82), signaling a strong bullish trend. The MACD histogram is positive (0.32) with the line crossing above the signal, and the RSI sits at 60.9, indicating continued upward momentum but no immediate over‑bought warning. Revenue grew 20.8% YoY to $23.93 B and the latest quarter posted a 6.1% sequential increase, yet margins remain thin (gross 10.8%, operating 9.7%) and free cash flow is slightly negative, highlighting profitability pressure. The stock’s PE of 95× dwarfs the semiconductor industry average of 34×, and a payout ratio of 176% makes the 2.13% dividend appear unsustainable. High 30‑day volatility (≈62%) combined with a beta of 1.36 and decreasing volume suggest heightened market risk, while the “Extreme Greed” sentiment index reflects a potentially overheated market environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • Elevated valuation multiples (PE 95× vs industry 34×)
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth but thin margins
  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
  • High debt relative to cash and modest ROE (2%)

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently overvalued price relative to fundamentals
  • Weak cash conversion (negative free cash flow)
  • Elevated sector and market risk (beta 1.36, volatility 62%)

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.80%
Profit Margin2.07%
P/E Ratio95.1
ROE2.02%
ROA1.57%
Debt/Equity68.00
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$4.0B
Free Cash Flow$-69604752
Industry P/E34.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support$34.20
Resistance$41.50
MA 20$37.97
MA 50$37.54
MA 200$26.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.48

Valuation

Fair Value$2,507.96
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.36
Volatility61.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.