INGR:NYSEIngredion Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time
$115.54
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ingredion (INGR) is trading at $115.54, comfortably above its 20‑day ($112.21) and 50‑day ($114.86) SMA but still below the 200‑day SMA ($119.03), placing it in a narrow range between a support level of $108.24 and resistance near $116.45. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits at 59, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure, yet the computed trend direction remains bearish and volume is on a downtrend, hinting at possible short‑term consolidation. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward PE of 9.65 and a price‑to‑book of 1.70, delivering a 2.85% dividend yield with a modest 29% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. However, the DCF fair value of roughly $62 starkly contrasts with the current price, flagging potential overvaluation despite analyst targets averaging $127‑$128 and a recent “Buy” initiation from Benchmark.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $116.45
- Decreasing volume trend
- Defensive consumer sector support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation multiples (PE ~10)
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.85%
- Low beta indicating limited market volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash flow generation and modest debt levels
- Long‑term defensive positioning in food & industrial ingredients
- DCF fair value discrepancy suggesting price correction risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.40%
Profit Margin10.10%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE18.10%
ROA8.47%
Debt/Equity45.82
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$944.0M
Free Cash Flow$357.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.4
Support$108.24
Resistance$116.45
MA 20$112.21
MA 50$114.86
MA 200$119.03
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.13
Valuation
Fair Value$61.99
Target Price$127.43
Upside/Downside10.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility15.81%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.