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INGR:NYSEIngredion Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$115.54

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ingredion (INGR) is trading at $115.54, comfortably above its 20‑day ($112.21) and 50‑day ($114.86) SMA but still below the 200‑day SMA ($119.03), placing it in a narrow range between a support level of $108.24 and resistance near $116.45. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits at 59, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure, yet the computed trend direction remains bearish and volume is on a downtrend, hinting at possible short‑term consolidation. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward PE of 9.65 and a price‑to‑book of 1.70, delivering a 2.85% dividend yield with a modest 29% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. However, the DCF fair value of roughly $62 starkly contrasts with the current price, flagging potential overvaluation despite analyst targets averaging $127‑$128 and a recent “Buy” initiation from Benchmark.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $116.45
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Defensive consumer sector support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation multiples (PE ~10)
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 2.85%
  • Low beta indicating limited market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow generation and modest debt levels
  • Long‑term defensive positioning in food & industrial ingredients
  • DCF fair value discrepancy suggesting price correction risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.40%
Profit Margin10.10%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE18.10%
ROA8.47%
Debt/Equity45.82
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$944.0M
Free Cash Flow$357.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI59.4
Support$108.24
Resistance$116.45
MA 20$112.21
MA 50$114.86
MA 200$119.03
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.13

Valuation

Fair Value$61.99
Target Price$127.43
Upside/Downside10.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility15.81%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.