EDHL:NASDAQEverbright Digital Holding Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$3.33
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading above its 20‑day (≈$3.15) and 50‑day (≈$3.22) simple moving averages but remains dramatically below the 200‑day average (≈$17), indicating a short‑term bounce within a long‑term downtrend. RSI sits near the midpoint at ~51, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition, while the MACD histogram is positive, offering a modest bullish signal. However, volume is on a decreasing trajectory and the 30‑day volatility exceeds 150%, reflecting erratic price swings. The beta of roughly 0.33 points to low systematic risk, yet the extreme price volatility dominates the risk profile.
Fundamental outlook: Revenue has plunged by about 50% year‑over‑year, and the company is posting deep negative gross (≈‑55%), operating (≈‑88%) and net margins (≈‑36%). Cash on hand (~$15k) is dwarfed by operating cash outflows and a massive free‑cash‑flow deficit, while the balance sheet shows no debt but an alarming max drawdown of over 97%. The price‑to‑book ratio hovers around 1.0 and price‑to‑sales near 2.7, yet the lack of earnings, zero dividend and a market cap under $6 million underscore severe financial fragility. These dynamics suggest the stock is priced low relative to its book value but is beset by fundamental weakness and high market risk.
Fundamental outlook: Revenue has plunged by about 50% year‑over‑year, and the company is posting deep negative gross (≈‑55%), operating (≈‑88%) and net margins (≈‑36%). Cash on hand (~$15k) is dwarfed by operating cash outflows and a massive free‑cash‑flow deficit, while the balance sheet shows no debt but an alarming max drawdown of over 97%. The price‑to‑book ratio hovers around 1.0 and price‑to‑sales near 2.7, yet the lack of earnings, zero dividend and a market cap under $6 million underscore severe financial fragility. These dynamics suggest the stock is priced low relative to its book value but is beset by fundamental weakness and high market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- price perched just above short‑term SMAs but below long‑term SMA200
- decreasing trading volume signaling waning interest
- persistent negative earnings and cash burn
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- ongoing revenue decline and margin erosion
- high volatility and limited cash reserves
- lack of dividend and analyst coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- severe max drawdown and near‑zero market capitalization
- structural financial deficits with no clear turnaround path
- exposure to a niche Hong Kong advertising market with regulatory uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-50.30%
Profit Margin-36.33%
ROE-20.83%
ROA-8.68%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$-1748162
Free Cash Flow$-6802158
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.5
Support$2.41
Resistance$4.46
MA 20$3.15
MA 50$3.22
MA 200$17.11
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.25
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility153.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.