EDU:NYSENew Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. Sponsored Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$54.88
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
New Oriental Education (EDU) trades around $54.9, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $129, implying roughly a 24% upside. The company shows solid fundamentals with a 14.7% revenue growth rate, a healthy cash balance of $4.94 bn versus $0.78 bn of debt, and a modest 25% dividend payout supporting a 2.2% yield. These metrics suggest the stock is significantly undervalued and offers attractive income and growth potential.
Technically, the MACD line sits above its signal, the histogram is positive and volume is increasing, while the RSI at 46 indicates room for upside without being overbought. However, the sector faces high regulatory scrutiny in China, and the 30‑day volatility of over 30% combined with a beta below 0.7 points to moderate market sensitivity. Overall, the upside potential outweighs the risks, especially for investors comfortable with the regulatory environment.
Technically, the MACD line sits above its signal, the histogram is positive and volume is increasing, while the RSI at 46 indicates room for upside without being overbought. However, the sector faces high regulatory scrutiny in China, and the 30‑day volatility of over 30% combined with a beta below 0.7 points to moderate market sensitivity. Overall, the upside potential outweighs the risks, especially for investors comfortable with the regulatory environment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram and increasing volume
- Current price above immediate support level
- Undervaluation with ~24% upside potential
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and expanding digital education platform
- Robust cash generation and low debt-to-equity ratio
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential regulatory changes affecting Chinese education sector
- Long‑term demographic trends supporting demand for tutoring services
- Valuation gap remains but may compress if policy environment tightens
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.70%
Profit Margin7.40%
P/E Ratio22.9
ROE9.89%
ROA4.34%
Debt/Equity18.55
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$915.9M
Free Cash Flow$707.6M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.5
Support$50.19
Resistance$58.19
MA 20$54.46
MA 50$57.05
MA 200$53.50
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.55
Valuation
Fair Value$129.01
Target Price$68.34
Upside/Downside24.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.20%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.66
Volatility30.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.