SKIL:NYSESkillsoft Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time
$7.51
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical snapshot: SKIL trades at $7.51, comfortably above its 20‑day ($6.87) and 50‑day ($6.92) moving averages but still below the 200‑day ($8.73) benchmark, signaling short‑term momentum in a longer‑term bearish backdrop. The RSI sits at 57.7 (neutral) while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is deemed bullish, suggesting a possible near‑term bounce. However, volatility is extreme at over 100% (30‑day) and beta exceeds 1.6, indicating the stock is highly sensitive to market swings.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue has slipped 4.7% year‑over‑year and margins are deep in the red (operating –7.4%, profit –28.5%). The company carries $582 M of debt against $115 M of cash, with a negative book value per share (‑$8.24) and zero ROE. Forward earnings look modestly positive (forward EPS $4.64) and the forward P/E is ultra‑low at 1.6, but trailing earnings are negative and there is no dividend. Recent material news includes a sizeable RSU grant to the new CFO, hinting at confidence in the turnaround plan, while the Q1 FY27 earnings release is imminent.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue has slipped 4.7% year‑over‑year and margins are deep in the red (operating –7.4%, profit –28.5%). The company carries $582 M of debt against $115 M of cash, with a negative book value per share (‑$8.24) and zero ROE. Forward earnings look modestly positive (forward EPS $4.64) and the forward P/E is ultra‑low at 1.6, but trailing earnings are negative and there is no dividend. Recent material news includes a sizeable RSU grant to the new CFO, hinting at confidence in the turnaround plan, while the Q1 FY27 earnings release is imminent.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term SMAs and bullish MACD hint at a modest upside
- Imminent Q1 earnings could clarify the revenue trend
- High volatility and beta raise downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E suggests cheapness if earnings recover
- Debt load and negative equity limit financial flexibility
- AI‑native platform offers growth potential but execution is unproven
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Sustained negative margins and cash‑burn raise concern
- Sector (Education & Training) is relatively defensive but competitive
- Strategic RSU grant may align leadership with a turnaround plan
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-4.70%
Profit Margin-28.52%
P/E Ratio1.6
ROA-2.42%
P/B Ratio-0.9
Op. Cash Flow$22.7M
Free Cash Flow$34.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI57.7
Support$5.00
Resistance$8.09
MA 20$6.87
MA 50$6.92
MA 200$8.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.67
Volatility102.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.