We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

SLP:NASDAQSimulations Plus, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time

$14.17

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Simulations Plus delivered an 8% year‑over‑year revenue increase, driven by solid software sales and a rebound in services, while maintaining a strong gross margin of 62% and an operating margin of 23%. However, the company still posted a negative profit margin of -78% and a trailing EPS of -3.12, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges despite robust cash of $41.8 M and minimal debt. The stock trades at $14.17, well below the DCF‑derived fair value of $18.13, implying an upside potential of roughly 67% and placing it in the undervalued category. Technicals show a neutral price trend with the 20‑day SMA at 13.88, a bearish MACD histogram, and a decreasing volume trend, while the RSI sits at a moderate 55, suggesting limited short‑term momentum.
The broader market sentiment is extremely bullish, as indicated by a Fear & Greed Index of 90.9 (Extreme Greed), but the stock’s high 30‑day volatility of 48% and beta of 1.24 highlight elevated market risk. With a supportive cash position, low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 0.38), and forward EPS turning positive, the longer‑term outlook is anchored in the growing demand for AI‑driven drug development tools, positioning SLP as a potential growth‑value blend opportunity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent 8% revenue growth but negative profit margin
  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Price near support level with limited upside in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates ~67% upside
  • Forward EPS turning positive and analyst buy recommendation
  • Strong cash position and low debt supporting operational flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in AI‑accelerated drug development market
  • Undervalued valuation relative to industry peers
  • Sustainable cash reserves and growth potential from expanding software suite

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin-77.96%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE-38.84%
ROA3.81%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$24.4M
Free Cash Flow$17.2M
Industry P/E25.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.8
Support$11.56
Resistance$15.69
MA 20$13.88
MA 50$12.72
MA 200$15.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.89

Valuation

Fair Value$18.13
Target Price$23.67
Upside/Downside67.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.24
Volatility48.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.