SLP:NASDAQSimulations Plus, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time
$14.17
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Simulations Plus delivered an 8% year‑over‑year revenue increase, driven by solid software sales and a rebound in services, while maintaining a strong gross margin of 62% and an operating margin of 23%. However, the company still posted a negative profit margin of -78% and a trailing EPS of -3.12, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges despite robust cash of $41.8 M and minimal debt. The stock trades at $14.17, well below the DCF‑derived fair value of $18.13, implying an upside potential of roughly 67% and placing it in the undervalued category. Technicals show a neutral price trend with the 20‑day SMA at 13.88, a bearish MACD histogram, and a decreasing volume trend, while the RSI sits at a moderate 55, suggesting limited short‑term momentum.
The broader market sentiment is extremely bullish, as indicated by a Fear & Greed Index of 90.9 (Extreme Greed), but the stock’s high 30‑day volatility of 48% and beta of 1.24 highlight elevated market risk. With a supportive cash position, low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 0.38), and forward EPS turning positive, the longer‑term outlook is anchored in the growing demand for AI‑driven drug development tools, positioning SLP as a potential growth‑value blend opportunity.
The broader market sentiment is extremely bullish, as indicated by a Fear & Greed Index of 90.9 (Extreme Greed), but the stock’s high 30‑day volatility of 48% and beta of 1.24 highlight elevated market risk. With a supportive cash position, low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 0.38), and forward EPS turning positive, the longer‑term outlook is anchored in the growing demand for AI‑driven drug development tools, positioning SLP as a potential growth‑value blend opportunity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent 8% revenue growth but negative profit margin
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
- Price near support level with limited upside in the near term
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates ~67% upside
- Forward EPS turning positive and analyst buy recommendation
- Strong cash position and low debt supporting operational flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in AI‑accelerated drug development market
- Undervalued valuation relative to industry peers
- Sustainable cash reserves and growth potential from expanding software suite
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin-77.96%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE-38.84%
ROA3.81%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$24.4M
Free Cash Flow$17.2M
Industry P/E25.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI54.8
Support$11.56
Resistance$15.69
MA 20$13.88
MA 50$12.72
MA 200$15.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.89
Valuation
Fair Value$18.13
Target Price$23.67
Upside/Downside67.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.24
Volatility48.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.