We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

SMC:NYSESummit Midstream Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time

$31.65

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Summit Midstream is trading around $31.65, just below its recent resistance of $31.74 and above a support level near $28.30. Technicals show a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line +0.15 above a negative signal line) and an RSI of roughly 66, indicating upward momentum but approaching overbought territory. The stock’s beta of ~0.63 suggests lower market sensitivity, yet 30‑day volatility is elevated at about 28%, reflecting price swings. Fundamentals reveal strong revenue growth of 40% YoY, but a negative profit margin and a trailing PE of 0 (due to losses) contrast with a forward PE near 33, well above the industry average of 23. The recent $42 million equity issuance to Tailwater Capital provides additional capital but dilutes shareholders. Overall, the company sits at a valuation crossroads: price‑to‑book under 1 hints at value, while a high forward PE and elevated debt (debt‑to‑equity ~97) signal overvaluation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI near 66 suggest continued upside but risk of pull‑back
  • Price is flirting with resistance at $31.74
  • Decreasing volume trend may limit short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust 40% revenue growth and solid operating cash flow
  • Equity infusion of $42 M improves balance‑sheet flexibility
  • Forward EPS turning positive despite current loss

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative ROE raise solvency concerns
  • Midstream assets provide stable cash generation over time
  • Valuation remains stretched with forward PE ~33 versus industry peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth40.50%
Profit Margin-3.48%
P/E Ratio33.0
ROE-2.78%
ROA2.33%
Debt/Equity96.84
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$133.6M
Free Cash Flow$25.0M
Industry P/E23.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI65.8
Support$28.30
Resistance$31.74
MA 20$29.57
MA 50$30.27
MA 200$25.81
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.88

Valuation

Target Price$46.00
Upside/Downside45.34%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility28.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.