SLNG:NASDAQStabilis Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time
$4.25
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Stabilis Solutions is trading just above its DCF‑derived fair value, indicating a market price that is essentially neutral on a valuation basis. The 20‑day SMA sits below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming a bearish longer‑term trend despite a recent bullish MACD crossover and a histogram that has turned positive. The RSI is hovering in the high‑fifties, suggesting limited upside momentum before overbought conditions emerge. Volume has been on a downward trajectory, and the 30‑day volatility exceeds one hundred percent, underscoring a high volatility price environment. A negative beta implies the stock moves opposite to the broader market, which can amplify downside in risk‑off periods. On the fundamentals side, the company reports a negative PE ratio and operating losses, with revenue contraction and thin gross margins. Free cash flow remains negative while elevated debt‑to‑equity raises concerns about balance‑sheet resilience. The lack of any dividend further diminishes income‑oriented appeal. Recent news of a terminated LNG supply agreement triggered an after‑hours sell‑off, adding to short‑term pressure. Overall, the combination of bearish technical alignment, weak earnings, and heightened volatility places the stock in a precarious position. Investors should weigh the modest upside implied by the DCF against the substantial downside risks from earnings weakness and sector transition challenges.
Given these dynamics, the stock is best viewed as fairly valued but fundamentally fragile, with limited upside potential unless the company secures new contracts and improves cash generation.
Given these dynamics, the stock is best viewed as fairly valued but fundamentally fragile, with limited upside potential unless the company secures new contracts and improves cash generation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Technical MACD crossover suggests limited short‑term upside
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- After‑hours price drop from supply‑agreement termination
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Market price aligns with DCF fair value
- Persistent operating losses and negative cash flow
- High volatility and bearish SMA alignment
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt load and weak balance‑sheet metrics
- No dividend and continued negative earnings
- Sector transition and regulatory uncertainty in LNG market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-23.30%
Profit Margin-1.98%
P/E Ratio-70.8
ROE-2.03%
ROA-1.85%
Debt/Equity13.24
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$8.6M
Free Cash Flow$-523750
Industry P/E23.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI58.8
Support$3.21
Resistance$4.83
MA 20$3.71
MA 50$4.20
MA 200$4.56
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.95
Valuation
Fair Value$4.24
Target Price$9.00
Upside/Downside111.76%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.41
Volatility114.87%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.