SLNH:NASDAQSoluna Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time
$1.66
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Soluna Holdings (SLNH) is trading at $1.66, well below its 52‑week high of $5.14, with the 20‑day SMA ($1.07) comfortably above the 50‑day SMA ($0.91) but still under the 200‑day SMA ($1.39), indicating a neutral longer‑term trend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 70, signaling near‑term overbought conditions, while the MACD line remains bullish above its signal, producing a modest positive histogram. Volatility is extreme – a 30‑day swing of over 170% and a beta near 4 – and the stock has endured an 86% max drawdown, reflecting the high‑risk nature of cryptocurrency‑linked businesses. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and net margins, a sizeable free‑cash‑flow deficit, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 26, yet it holds $76 M in cash against $29 M of debt, providing a modest liquidity cushion. Recent news highlights aggressive project expansion, an acquisition of the Briscoe wind farm, and a strategic pivot toward AI‑driven high‑performance computing, suggesting potential upside if diversification succeeds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating overbought conditions
- Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
- Negative earnings and cash‑flow pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and technical support at $0.64
- Ongoing project expansion and wind‑farm acquisition
- Continued earnings deficits offset by cash reserves
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic diversification into AI and renewable‑powered computing
- Potential upside to analyst target of $5
- Large cash buffer relative to debt providing runway for growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.30%
Profit Margin-179.73%
P/E Ratio-3.6
ROE-81.64%
ROA-15.25%
Debt/Equity26.07
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$-9149000
Free Cash Flow$-30878000
Industry P/E17.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI70.3
Support$0.64
Resistance$1.72
MA 20$1.07
MA 50$0.91
MA 200$1.39
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93
Valuation
Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside201.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.95
Volatility171.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.