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SLNH:NASDAQSoluna Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time

$1.66

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Soluna Holdings (SLNH) is trading at $1.66, well below its 52‑week high of $5.14, with the 20‑day SMA ($1.07) comfortably above the 50‑day SMA ($0.91) but still under the 200‑day SMA ($1.39), indicating a neutral longer‑term trend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 70, signaling near‑term overbought conditions, while the MACD line remains bullish above its signal, producing a modest positive histogram. Volatility is extreme – a 30‑day swing of over 170% and a beta near 4 – and the stock has endured an 86% max drawdown, reflecting the high‑risk nature of cryptocurrency‑linked businesses. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and net margins, a sizeable free‑cash‑flow deficit, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 26, yet it holds $76 M in cash against $29 M of debt, providing a modest liquidity cushion. Recent news highlights aggressive project expansion, an acquisition of the Briscoe wind farm, and a strategic pivot toward AI‑driven high‑performance computing, suggesting potential upside if diversification succeeds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
  • Negative earnings and cash‑flow pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and technical support at $0.64
  • Ongoing project expansion and wind‑farm acquisition
  • Continued earnings deficits offset by cash reserves

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic diversification into AI and renewable‑powered computing
  • Potential upside to analyst target of $5
  • Large cash buffer relative to debt providing runway for growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.30%
Profit Margin-179.73%
P/E Ratio-3.6
ROE-81.64%
ROA-15.25%
Debt/Equity26.07
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$-9149000
Free Cash Flow$-30878000
Industry P/E17.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI70.3
Support$0.64
Resistance$1.72
MA 20$1.07
MA 50$0.91
MA 200$1.39
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93

Valuation

Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside201.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta3.95
Volatility171.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.