QUIK:NASDAQQuickLogic Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$18.46
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: QUIK is trading well above its 20‑day (16.88) and 50‑day (12.77) SMAs, with the 200‑day SMA (8.16) far below the current price of $18.46, confirming a strong bullish trend. RSI sits at 58, indicating momentum is still positive, while the MACD shows a near‑neutral signal (line 2.21 vs. signal 2.22) with a tiny bearish histogram. Volume is increasing, and the stock is comfortably above the calculated support of $11.59, though still below the resistance near $22.69.
Fundamental & valuation backdrop: Despite a 16.8% revenue growth YoY, the company posts a negative operating margin (-41.7%) and a trailing EPS of -$0.75, with zero operating cash flow. The forward PE of 142 versus an industry average of 38, and a price‑to‑book of 14.2, suggest the market is pricing in aggressive growth expectations. The newly secured $10 million revolving credit facility improves liquidity, but debt‑to‑equity of 14.4 and a max drawdown of -30.6% underscore financial fragility.
Market sentiment: The stock has rallied ~60% over the past month, driven by optimism around radiation‑hardened FPGA contracts and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.3). Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a target price of $24.50, implying ~33% upside, yet the high beta (2.45) and 30‑day volatility (>115%) flag significant price swings.
Fundamental & valuation backdrop: Despite a 16.8% revenue growth YoY, the company posts a negative operating margin (-41.7%) and a trailing EPS of -$0.75, with zero operating cash flow. The forward PE of 142 versus an industry average of 38, and a price‑to‑book of 14.2, suggest the market is pricing in aggressive growth expectations. The newly secured $10 million revolving credit facility improves liquidity, but debt‑to‑equity of 14.4 and a max drawdown of -30.6% underscore financial fragility.
Market sentiment: The stock has rallied ~60% over the past month, driven by optimism around radiation‑hardened FPGA contracts and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.3). Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a target price of $24.50, implying ~33% upside, yet the high beta (2.45) and 30‑day volatility (>115%) flag significant price swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA positioning and rising volume
- Near‑neutral MACD with slight bearish histogram
- High valuation relative to earnings and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth target of 50‑100% for 2026
- New $10M revolving credit facility boosting financial flexibility
- Strong sector momentum and recent outperformance among semiconductors
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Persistent operating losses and negative cash flow
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity and high beta indicating volatility
- Uncertainty around sustainable profitability despite growth outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.80%
Profit Margin-102.28%
P/E Ratio142.0
ROE-49.23%
ROA-17.99%
Debt/Equity14.36
P/B Ratio14.2
Industry P/E38.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.2
Support$11.59
Resistance$22.69
MA 20$16.88
MA 50$12.77
MA 200$8.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.32
Valuation
Target Price$24.50
Upside/Downside32.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.45
Volatility115.99%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.