2:HKEX
Crude Oil Apr 26
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$83.40
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Crude Oil Apr 26 is trading at $83.4, comfortably above its 20‑day ($70.74), 50‑day ($64.64) and 200‑day ($63.32) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The RSI sits at 65.6, indicating upward momentum but not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is positive (2.30) with a bullish signal line crossover. Support at $61.87 provides a wide safety cushion, and the next major resistance sits near $119.48, far above current levels. Volatility is elevated at 66.8% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.36 suggests limited systematic risk, and the Fear & Greed Index at 76.9 reflects “Extreme Greed” market sentiment. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the technical bullishness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Price above multiple SMAs confirming bullish trend
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
- Favorable market sentiment (Extreme Greed)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Wide support cushion reduces downside risk
- High volatility may cause price swings
- Potential macro‑economic shifts in oil demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental uncertainty for crude oil pricing
- Regulatory and geopolitical influences on supply
- Long‑term price range bounded by 52‑week high/low
Key Metrics & Analysis
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI65.6
Support$61.87
Resistance$119.48
MA 20$70.74
MA 50$64.64
MA 200$63.32
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.36
Volatility66.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.