2:HKEX

Crude Oil Apr 26

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$83.40

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Crude Oil Apr 26 is trading at $83.4, comfortably above its 20‑day ($70.74), 50‑day ($64.64) and 200‑day ($63.32) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The RSI sits at 65.6, indicating upward momentum but not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is positive (2.30) with a bullish signal line crossover. Support at $61.87 provides a wide safety cushion, and the next major resistance sits near $119.48, far above current levels. Volatility is elevated at 66.8% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.36 suggests limited systematic risk, and the Fear & Greed Index at 76.9 reflects “Extreme Greed” market sentiment. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the technical bullishness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price above multiple SMAs confirming bullish trend
  • Increasing volume supporting momentum
  • Favorable market sentiment (Extreme Greed)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Wide support cushion reduces downside risk
  • High volatility may cause price swings
  • Potential macro‑economic shifts in oil demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental uncertainty for crude oil pricing
  • Regulatory and geopolitical influences on supply
  • Long‑term price range bounded by 52‑week high/low

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI65.6
Support$61.87
Resistance$119.48
MA 20$70.74
MA 50$64.64
MA 200$63.32
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility66.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.