1802:TSE
China AMC YueXiu Expressway REIT
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
CN¥5.36
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund trades at CNY 5.361, comfortably above the calculated support of CNY 5.29 but still below the 200‑day SMA of CNY 5.90, indicating short‑term resilience within a longer‑term downtrend. Technical momentum is mildly positive: the 20‑day SMA (5.354) sits just above the 50‑day SMA (5.319), the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged bullish, while the RSI of 52 suggests the price is neither overbought nor oversold. Volatility remains modest at ~6.7% over the past 30 days, and beta is virtually zero, implying the fund’s price moves largely independent of broader market swings. However, a max drawdown of roughly 21% signals susceptibility to sharper corrections. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 76.9 (Extreme Greed).
Given the absence of earnings, cash flow, or dividend data, valuation must rely on price behavior and risk metrics. The fund appears fairly priced relative to its technical support/resistance zones, but the lack of dividend sustainability and unclear fundamental backdrop keep the outlook cautious. Investors should monitor any policy shifts affecting Chinese REITs and watch for price action around the CNY 5.40 resistance level.
Given the absence of earnings, cash flow, or dividend data, valuation must rely on price behavior and risk metrics. The fund appears fairly priced relative to its technical support/resistance zones, but the lack of dividend sustainability and unclear fundamental backdrop keep the outlook cautious. Investors should monitor any policy shifts affecting Chinese REITs and watch for price action around the CNY 5.40 resistance level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above immediate support but below long‑term SMA
- Neutral RSI and modest volatility
- Extremely optimistic market sentiment may inflate short‑term moves
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD crossover suggesting upside potential
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide risk
- Technical pattern could capture gains if price breaks above CNY 5.40 resistance
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Absence of earnings and dividend data limits intrinsic value assessment
- Long‑term SMA remains well above current price, indicating structural downside
- Regulatory and geographic risks in the Chinese REIT space
Key Metrics & Analysis
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.0
SupportCN¥5.29
ResistanceCN¥5.40
MA 20CN¥5.35
MA 50CN¥5.32
MA 200CN¥5.90
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.00
Volatility6.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.