1802:TSE

China AMC YueXiu Expressway REIT

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CN¥5.36

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund trades at CNY 5.361, comfortably above the calculated support of CNY 5.29 but still below the 200‑day SMA of CNY 5.90, indicating short‑term resilience within a longer‑term downtrend. Technical momentum is mildly positive: the 20‑day SMA (5.354) sits just above the 50‑day SMA (5.319), the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged bullish, while the RSI of 52 suggests the price is neither overbought nor oversold. Volatility remains modest at ~6.7% over the past 30 days, and beta is virtually zero, implying the fund’s price moves largely independent of broader market swings. However, a max drawdown of roughly 21% signals susceptibility to sharper corrections. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 76.9 (Extreme Greed).
Given the absence of earnings, cash flow, or dividend data, valuation must rely on price behavior and risk metrics. The fund appears fairly priced relative to its technical support/resistance zones, but the lack of dividend sustainability and unclear fundamental backdrop keep the outlook cautious. Investors should monitor any policy shifts affecting Chinese REITs and watch for price action around the CNY 5.40 resistance level.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above immediate support but below long‑term SMA
  • Neutral RSI and modest volatility
  • Extremely optimistic market sentiment may inflate short‑term moves

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD crossover suggesting upside potential
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide risk
  • Technical pattern could capture gains if price breaks above CNY 5.40 resistance

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Absence of earnings and dividend data limits intrinsic value assessment
  • Long‑term SMA remains well above current price, indicating structural downside
  • Regulatory and geographic risks in the Chinese REIT space

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI52.0
SupportCN¥5.29
ResistanceCN¥5.40
MA 20CN¥5.35
MA 50CN¥5.32
MA 200CN¥5.90
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.00
Volatility6.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.