002074:SZSEGotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
CN¥36.30
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Gotion High‑tech is trading at CNY 36.3, sitting just below its 20‑day SMA of 37.25 and well under the 50‑day SMA of 38.76, while the 30‑day volatility is elevated at 28 % and the computed beta is modest at 0.20. The RSI of 39.6 hints at a mildly oversold condition, yet the bearish MACD and a price hovering near the immediate support of CNY 35.65 suggest short‑term downside pressure.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted a robust 20.7 % revenue growth and a respectable ROE of 10.5 %, but its balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 140 % and a negative free cash flow of -CNY 6.78 bn. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing PE of 19.6 is well below the industry average of 29.4, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 19.1 and a forward PE of 57.6 flag potential overvaluation. The dividend is modest at 0.28 % with a low payout ratio, but sustainability is questionable given cash flow constraints. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a median target of CNY 43.8, implying upside if the company can navigate its leverage and cash flow challenges.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted a robust 20.7 % revenue growth and a respectable ROE of 10.5 %, but its balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 140 % and a negative free cash flow of -CNY 6.78 bn. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing PE of 19.6 is well below the industry average of 29.4, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 19.1 and a forward PE of 57.6 flag potential overvaluation. The dividend is modest at 0.28 % with a low payout ratio, but sustainability is questionable given cash flow constraints. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a median target of CNY 43.8, implying upside if the company can navigate its leverage and cash flow challenges.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
- Proximity to immediate support level
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth but high debt load
- Negative free cash flow limiting reinvestment
- Valuation gap between trailing PE and industry average
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term tailwinds in EV and energy‑storage markets
- Analyst buy consensus with upside target price
- Solid ROE and competitive PE relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin8.38%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE10.49%
ROA0.86%
Debt/Equity140.64
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-6778478592
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI39.6
SupportCN¥35.65
ResistanceCN¥38.62
MA 20CN¥37.25
MA 50CN¥38.76
MA 200CN¥36.04
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥19.10
Target PriceCN¥40.50
Upside/Downside11.57%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility28.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.