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000975:SZSEShanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time

CN¥30.49

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: Shanjin International Gold trades around CNY30.5, sitting below its 20‑day SMA but comfortably above the long‑term 200‑day SMA, indicating a bullish backdrop. The RSI hovers near 48, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, pointing to short‑term bearish pressure. Nonetheless, the 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day SMA, a classic bullish crossover, and volume is stable.
Fundamental outlook: The company delivered robust revenue growth of roughly 39% and operating margins above 38%, with a cash pile that comfortably exceeds its modest debt, underpinning a sustainable dividend at about a 1.2% yield. The DCF fair value sits modestly above the current price and a forward PE near 15 signals a valuation moving toward fairness. With a low beta and moderate volatility, the stock offers a balanced risk‑return profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • 20‑day SMA above 50‑day SMA indicating bullish crossover
  • MACD histogram negative, suggesting short‑term pressure
  • Stable volume supporting current price level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Forward PE around 15, implying reasonable valuation
  • Sustainable dividend yield with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to gold and precious metals with long‑term demand
  • Robust cash generation and low debt profile
  • Moderate regulatory and geopolitical risks in China

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth38.90%
Profit Margin17.38%
P/E Ratio28.5
ROE20.69%
ROA14.02%
Debt/Equity8.15
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.2
SupportCN¥28.30
ResistanceCN¥36.45
MA 20CN¥31.17
MA 50CN¥29.49
MA 200CN¥22.69
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥31.67
Target PriceCN¥26.75
Upside/Downside-12.27%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility81.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.