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QTRX:NASDAQQuanterix Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$3.10

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Quanterix (QTRX) is trading at $3.10, well below its 20‑day SMA of 3.01 and 50‑day SMA of 3.15, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI of 48.9 suggests the stock is near neutral, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.014) and the line sits above the signal, offering a modest bullish signal amid an overall bearish trend. Volatility is extreme at over 102% for the past 30 days and beta is high at 1.89, underscoring price swings and market sensitivity. Fundamentals show revenue growth of 20% year‑over‑year, yet operating margins are deeply negative (‑59%) and the company reports a trailing EPS of ‑2.35, reflecting ongoing loss generation. The balance sheet is relatively solid with cash of $99.3 M against debt of $35.3 M, but operating cash flow remains negative, raising concerns about cash burn. Valuation multiples are low – price‑to‑book is 0.52 and price‑to‑sales is just above 1 – suggesting the market may be discounting future growth potential. Recent news highlights senior management’s participation in the Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference, aiming to raise visibility, but no material earnings surprises have been reported.
Given the bearish technical positioning, high volatility, and negative earnings, the short‑term outlook remains cautious. However, the 20% revenue growth, strong cash position, and exposure to high‑growth biomarker markets provide a runway for a turnaround, supporting a longer‑term view that the stock could rebound if profitability improves. The absence of dividend payments confirms that investors are relying on capital appreciation rather than income. Overall, QTRX sits at a crossroads where technical weakness clashes with a compelling growth narrative, making it a speculative play that may reward patient investors who can tolerate significant risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • High 30‑day volatility
  • Negative earnings and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • 20% revenue growth trajectory
  • Strong cash balance versus debt
  • Continued market exposure through conferences

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Low valuation multiples (P/B < 1)
  • Potential upside from biomarker market expansion
  • Improving profitability outlook if margin initiatives succeed

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.10%
Profit Margin-71.86%
P/E Ratio-2.3
ROE-34.81%
ROA-13.39%
Debt/Equity12.52
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$-81455000
Free Cash Flow$-21983500
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.9
Support$2.39
Resistance$4.03
MA 20$3.01
MA 50$3.15
MA 200$5.16
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$4.33
Upside/Downside39.78%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.89
Volatility102.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.