NVDA:NASDAQ
NVIDIA Corporation
$190.17
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Data as of 2025-11-17 - not real-time. AI-generated analysis may contain inaccuracies.
Trading Recommendations
Short Term
< 1 yearhold
Conviction: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stock near resistance at $207 with mixed technical signals (RSI neutral at 51.95, MACD bullish but volume fading post-breakout)
- Earnings announcement November 19, 2025 creates immediate catalyst and volatility risk
- Put/call ratio 0.42 reflects institutional bullish positioning but not extreme conviction
Medium Term
1-3 yearsbuy
Conviction: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth 85% YoY with 56% growth in Q2 FY2026 demonstrates AI demand momentum exceeding deceleration from scale
- Profit margins at 55.85% net profit margin and ROE of 109.42% indicate pricing power and capital efficiency unique among semiconductors
- Analyst consensus Strong Buy with 59/64 analysts rating buy or strong buy; average price target $230.78 implies 21.4% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsbuy
Conviction: 8/10
Key Factors
- Structural dominance in AI infrastructure and CUDA ecosystem creates multi-decade moat as enterprises scale AI spending toward multi-trillion levels
- Free cash flow generation of $60.8B enables sustained R&D investment for next-gen architectures (Vera Rubin 2026) and share buybacks without debt burden
- Valuation premium justified by 85% revenue growth and 109% ROE relative to industry, though P/E of 53.7x vs sector 34.2x requires continued execution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth85.20%
Profit Margin55.85%
P/E Ratio53.7
ROE109.42%
ROA53.09%
Debt/Equity0.11
P/B Ratio46.2
Op. Cash Flow$77.0B
Free Cash Flow$60.9B
Industry P/E34.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.0
Support$183.00
Resistance$207.00
MA 20$191.58
MA 50$184.38
MA 200$190.71
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index39
Valuation
Fair Value$142.88
Target Price$230.78
Upside/Downside21.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta2.27
Volatility4.19%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Market Sentiment
Analyst Sentiment
RatingBuy
Analysts64
Target Changes+4
Institutional
Ownership68.98%
Flow (30d)Inflow
Put/Call Ratio0.42
Social Sentiment
OverallPositive