MSTR:NASDAQStrategy Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-02-22 - not real-time
$131.05
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Technical indicators remain weak, with the stock trading well below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
- Institutional outflows and bearish momentum limit near-term upside despite the fundamental discount to NAV.
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Median analyst price target of $325 implies massive 148% upside from current depressed levels.
- Current valuation at 0.7x price-to-NAV presents a compelling opportunity to acquire Bitcoin exposure at a historic discount.
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- MicroStrategy holds over 3.4% of all Bitcoin, maintaining a dominant structural edge as the largest corporate holder.
- Consistent accumulation strategy and capital raising are designed to sustainably increase Bitcoin per share over time.
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.50%
Profit Margin72.10%
P/E Ratio-7.1
ROE-11.10%
ROA-7.80%
Debt/Equity16.10
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$16
Free Cash Flow$10
Industry P/E25.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.5
Support$104.17
Resistance$185.00
MA 20$140.50
MA 50$165.20
MA 200$215.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index38
Valuation
Fair Value$150.00
Target Price$325.00
Upside/Downside148.00%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.54
Volatility114.00%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.