MSTR:NASDAQ

Strategy Inc

Data as of 2026-02-22 - not real-time

$131.05

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators remain weak, with the stock trading well below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
  • Institutional outflows and bearish momentum limit near-term upside despite the fundamental discount to NAV.

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Median analyst price target of $325 implies massive 148% upside from current depressed levels.
  • Current valuation at 0.7x price-to-NAV presents a compelling opportunity to acquire Bitcoin exposure at a historic discount.

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • MicroStrategy holds over 3.4% of all Bitcoin, maintaining a dominant structural edge as the largest corporate holder.
  • Consistent accumulation strategy and capital raising are designed to sustainably increase Bitcoin per share over time.

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.50%
Profit Margin72.10%
P/E Ratio-7.1
ROE-11.10%
ROA-7.80%
Debt/Equity16.10
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$16
Free Cash Flow$10
Industry P/E25.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.5
Support$104.17
Resistance$185.00
MA 20$140.50
MA 50$165.20
MA 200$215.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index38

Valuation

Fair Value$150.00
Target Price$325.00
Upside/Downside148.00%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta3.54
Volatility114.00%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.