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MSILX:NASDAQiMGP International Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$23.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund’s price at $23.90 sits comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 23.63, the 50‑day SMA of 23.16, and the 200‑day SMA of 22.36, underscoring a sustained upward momentum. RSI at 56.3 signals moderate strength without overbought pressure, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the histogram at –0.055, suggesting short‑term caution. Support at $22.88 remains intact and the price is still below the resistance level of $24.20, providing a clear upside buffer. The 30‑day volatility of 18.9% and a beta of 1.03 indicate the fund moves closely with the market but with slightly higher swings. A max drawdown of –12.7% is moderate, and the fund’s YTD return of 9.06% aligns with the bullish market sentiment reflected in an “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index reading of 89.86. The dividend yield of 1.42% adds a modest income component.
Overall, the fund exhibits a bullish trend direction, stable volume, and zero tracking error, suggesting tight alignment with its benchmark. The lack of expense ratio and low turnover (0.9863) further enhance its cost efficiency. While the MACD’s bearish signal tempers enthusiasm, the confluence of strong SMA positioning, solid YTD performance, and favorable market sentiment supports a positive outlook. Liquidity risk appears low given the mutual‑fund structure, and currency exposure is moderate due to its international focus. These factors collectively point toward a recommendation to maintain or modestly increase exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price remains above key SMAs indicating momentum
  • Support level holds firm at $22.88
  • Bearish MACD histogram suggests short‑term caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent YTD return of 9.06% in a bullish market
  • Low expense ratio and near‑zero tracking error
  • Dividend yield of 1.42% adds income potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long track record since 1997 with stable management
  • Alignment with benchmark and low style drift
  • Moderate beta and manageable volatility supporting steady growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Mutual Fund Metrics

Turnover Ratio98.63%
BenchmarkMsci Acwi Ex Usa
Max Drawdown-12.70%
Style DriftLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.3
Support$22.88
Resistance$24.20
MA 20$23.63
MA 50$23.16
MA 200$22.36
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility18.94%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.