MSILX:NASDAQiMGP International Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$22.11
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $22.11, just below the 20‑day SMA of $22.98 and the 50‑day SMA of $22.96, indicating a slight pullback toward short‑term averages. The 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs are virtually flat and converging, suggesting limited momentum in the near term. RSI at 33 signals that the fund is in oversold territory, which could set the stage for a bounce if buying interest returns. However, the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, pointing to continued downside pressure. The price sits just above the identified support level of $21.95 and well below the resistance at $23.63, giving a modest upside buffer. The 30‑day volatility of roughly 16% and a max drawdown of 14.6% reflect moderate price swings, while a low beta of 0.66 underscores reduced sensitivity to broader market moves.
The fund’s expense ratio of 1.2% is relatively high for a pass‑through mutual fund, eroding net returns especially in a low‑growth environment. Dividend yield of 1.48% offers modest income but may not compensate for the expense drag. The fear‑greed index at 76.9 (Extreme Greed) suggests that market participants are overly optimistic, which could inflate valuations. Stable trading volume indicates adequate liquidity, yet the lack of tracking error and zero premium/discount imply the fund closely mirrors its underlying holdings. Overall, the technical picture is mixed: oversold momentum versus bearish MACD, with limited upside to the near‑term resistance. Investors should weigh the modest upside potential against the expense load and moderate risk profile before adjusting positions.
The fund’s expense ratio of 1.2% is relatively high for a pass‑through mutual fund, eroding net returns especially in a low‑growth environment. Dividend yield of 1.48% offers modest income but may not compensate for the expense drag. The fear‑greed index at 76.9 (Extreme Greed) suggests that market participants are overly optimistic, which could inflate valuations. Stable trading volume indicates adequate liquidity, yet the lack of tracking error and zero premium/discount imply the fund closely mirrors its underlying holdings. Overall, the technical picture is mixed: oversold momentum versus bearish MACD, with limited upside to the near‑term resistance. Investors should weigh the modest upside potential against the expense load and moderate risk profile before adjusting positions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI
- Price near support
- Bearish MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential bounce from oversold conditions
- Low beta reducing market risk
- Stable liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High expense ratio
- Limited growth outlook
- Moderate volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Mutual Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.20%
Turnover Ratio43.58%
Max Drawdown-14.63%
Style DriftLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI33.0
Support$21.95
Resistance$23.63
MA 20$22.98
MA 50$22.96
MA 200$21.69
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Risk Assessment
Beta0.66
Volatility15.90%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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MUTUAL_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.