EOLS:NASDAQEvolus, Inc. Common Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-31 - not real-time
$4.14
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Evolus, Inc. (EOLS) posted a robust 14% revenue growth, driven by Jeuveau market‑share gains and international expansion, and its forward EPS $0.24 signals a potential return to profitability. The company’s forward P/E 17.3 sits well below the industry average of 25.5, and analysts’ median target of $14 implies an upside >250% from the current $4.14 price, suggesting the stock may be substantially undervalued. Recent management participation in the Leerink Global Healthcare Conference underscores confidence in the growth narrative and provides a platform for investor outreach.
On the technical side, the price remains above the identified support of $3.86 but under the 20‑day SMA of $4.84, with a neutral trend, a bearish MACD divergence and a sub‑50 RSI of 38, while trading volume is on a downtrend, indicating limited short‑term momentum. The stock’s beta 1.27 and volatility 103% point to heightened market sensitivity, and the company’s negative operating cash flow and sizable debt amplify liquidity concerns, reinforcing a moderate‑to‑high risk profile.
On the technical side, the price remains above the identified support of $3.86 but under the 20‑day SMA of $4.84, with a neutral trend, a bearish MACD divergence and a sub‑50 RSI of 38, while trading volume is on a downtrend, indicating limited short‑term momentum. The stock’s beta 1.27 and volatility 103% point to heightened market sensitivity, and the company’s negative operating cash flow and sizable debt amplify liquidity concerns, reinforcing a moderate‑to‑high risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
- Price near support but above
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 14% revenue growth and market share gains
- Forward EPS turning positive
- Analyst median target implying >250% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Negative operating cash flow and high debt
- High beta and volatility
- Uncertainty around sustainable profitability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin-17.38%
P/E Ratio17.3
ROA-10.25%
P/B Ratio-11.7
Op. Cash Flow$-42265000
Free Cash Flow$-26697750
Industry P/E25.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.1
Support$3.86
Resistance$6.25
MA 20$4.84
MA 50$4.66
MA 200$6.66
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.59
Valuation
Target Price$14.67
Upside/Downside254.27%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility102.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.