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LHFG:SETLH Financial Group PCL Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

THB 1.01

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LH Financial Group is riding a solid bullish technical backdrop, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages and a MACD line that has just crossed above its signal, confirming upward momentum. The RSI sits at a modest 56, indicating room for further upside without being overbought, while volume is on an upward trend, supporting the price advance toward the 1.04 resistance level. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a P/E of 7.2, well below the industry average of 16.5, and a P/B of 0.5, suggesting a sizeable valuation cushion. Revenue is expanding at a healthy 26% year‑over‑year, and profit margins are strong, delivering a 34% net margin. However, the balance sheet raises flags: total debt exceeds THB 32 billion against cash of THB 4.4 billion, and operating cash flow is deeply negative, which could pressure future dividend sustainability.
The dividend yield of 8.9% is attractive, with a payout ratio under 30%, but investors should monitor cash generation closely. Volatility is elevated at roughly 28% over the past month, yet beta is near zero, indicating the stock moves largely independent of market swings. Overall, the stock appears undervalued with compelling yield, but the debt load and cash‑flow weakness introduce a moderate risk element that warrants a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (SMA crossover, MACD bullish)
  • Significant valuation discount to peers (low P/E, P/B)
  • High dividend yield with comfortable payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings and margin profile
  • Elevated debt level requiring monitoring
  • Potential price resistance near THB 1.04

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and profitability
  • Attractive dividend yield if cash flow improves
  • Undervalued relative to industry fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth26.50%
Profit Margin34.36%
P/E Ratio7.2
ROE7.09%
ROA0.77%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowTHB-38428139520
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.3
SupportTHB 0.92
ResistanceTHB 1.04
MA 20THB 0.99
MA 50THB 0.97
MA 200THB 0.83
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.91%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.00
Volatility27.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.