NMDC:ADXNMDC Group PJSC Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
₹77.56
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NMDC is trading at ₹77.56, just above the computed support of ₹76.20 and well below the 20‑day SMA of ₹79.82, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 14‑day RSI at 42 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the MACD histogram remains negative, signaling bearish momentum. Volume has been increasing, but the overall trend is neutral and the 30‑day volatility of 35 % points to a choppy price environment. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 79.45, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating short‑term buying pressure. Beta is low at 0.22, implying limited correlation with broader market moves, yet the high volatility keeps risk elevated. These technical signals together suggest caution until the price can break above resistance at ₹83.58.
Fundamentally, NMDC delivers solid earnings with a trailing PE of 9.9 and a forward PE of 8.3, well below the sector average, while the price‑to‑book ratio of 2.1 reflects a modest premium to net assets. Revenue grew 15.9 % year‑over‑year, and margins remain healthy (gross 52 %, operating 27 %, profit 25 %). The company holds a strong cash balance of ₹105 bn against debt of ₹36 bn, and a payout ratio of 42 % supports the attractive 4.46 % dividend yield, making the dividend sustainable. Analyst consensus targets a mean price of ₹80.94, implying about a 4.3 % upside from current levels. Given the blend of value metrics, growth traction, and robust dividend, the stock appears slightly undervalued and suitable for medium‑ to long‑term investors.
Fundamentally, NMDC delivers solid earnings with a trailing PE of 9.9 and a forward PE of 8.3, well below the sector average, while the price‑to‑book ratio of 2.1 reflects a modest premium to net assets. Revenue grew 15.9 % year‑over‑year, and margins remain healthy (gross 52 %, operating 27 %, profit 25 %). The company holds a strong cash balance of ₹105 bn against debt of ₹36 bn, and a payout ratio of 42 % supports the attractive 4.46 % dividend yield, making the dividend sustainable. Analyst consensus targets a mean price of ₹80.94, implying about a 4.3 % upside from current levels. Given the blend of value metrics, growth traction, and robust dividend, the stock appears slightly undervalued and suitable for medium‑ to long‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near support
- bearish MACD
- high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- revenue growth of 15.9%
- undervalued PE and forward PE
- sustainable 4.46% dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- strong cash position
- low beta reduces market risk
- attractive dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.90%
Profit Margin24.88%
P/E Ratio9.9
Debt/Equity11.21
P/B Ratio2.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.2
Support₹76.20
Resistance₹83.58
MA 20₹79.82
MA 50₹81.36
MA 200₹75.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Target Price₹80.94
Upside/Downside4.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.22
Volatility35.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.