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601229:SSEBank of Shanghai Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥9.92

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bank of Shanghai trades at a PE of 6.8, far below the industry average of 16.5, and its PB of 0.54 signals a deep discount to book value. The stock sits just above its 20‑day SMA (9.82) and 50‑day SMA (9.76) but below the 200‑day SMA (10.02), suggesting a neutral long‑term trend while the MACD has turned bullish and the RSI sits at a moderate 57, hinting at limited upside pressure. Volume is increasing and the 30‑day volatility of about 20% is moderate, yet the beta of 0.02 indicates the share is virtually uncorrelated with broader market moves. A dividend yield of 5.24% with a modest payout ratio (34%) is attractive, but the company’s operating cash flow is negative and revenue is contracting at –2.3%, raising questions about cash‑flow sustainability. Overall, the stock appears cheap and income‑rich, but fundamental headwinds temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Significant valuation discount

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue decline and negative operating cash flow
  • Regulatory environment for regional banks
  • Continued low valuation relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend income
  • Potential improvement in cash generation
  • Elevated regulatory and credit risk in Chinese banking sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.30%
Profit Margin58.49%
P/E Ratio6.8
ROE9.47%
ROA0.73%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-174211481600
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.3
SupportCN¥9.52
ResistanceCN¥10.14
MA 20CN¥9.82
MA 50CN¥9.76
MA 200CN¥10.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility20.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.