We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

6110:HKEXTopsports International Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

HK$2.87

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Topsports is trading at HK$2.87, barely above the identified support level of HK$2.86 and well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (around HK$3.01 and HK$2.92). The RSI sits in the low‑30s and the MACD histogram is negative, signalling modest bearish pressure despite a neutral overall trend.
Fundamentally, revenue has contracted by roughly 6% year‑on‑year while margins remain respectable (gross ~38%, operating ~9%). Return on equity is solid at about 13% and the forward P/E is near 11, but free cash flow is negative and the payout ratio exceeds 80%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The DCF model values the stock near HK$3.31, suggesting a potential upside of around 40% and the analyst consensus leans toward a strong‑buy stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near technical support
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI
  • High dividend yield offering immediate income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside of ~40% based on intrinsic valuation
  • Solid ROE and reasonable operating margins
  • Cyclical recovery prospects for the apparel retail sector in China

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.80%
Profit Margin4.58%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE12.97%
ROA6.39%
Debt/Equity63.77
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowHK$2.5B
Free Cash FlowHK$-884249984

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
SupportHK$2.86
ResistanceHK$3.19
MA 20HK$3.01
MA 50HK$2.92
MA 200HK$3.08
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$3.31
Target PriceHK$4.03
Upside/Downside40.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility25.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.