6110:HKEXTopsports International Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
HK$2.87
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Topsports is trading at HK$2.87, barely above the identified support level of HK$2.86 and well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (around HK$3.01 and HK$2.92). The RSI sits in the low‑30s and the MACD histogram is negative, signalling modest bearish pressure despite a neutral overall trend.
Fundamentally, revenue has contracted by roughly 6% year‑on‑year while margins remain respectable (gross ~38%, operating ~9%). Return on equity is solid at about 13% and the forward P/E is near 11, but free cash flow is negative and the payout ratio exceeds 80%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The DCF model values the stock near HK$3.31, suggesting a potential upside of around 40% and the analyst consensus leans toward a strong‑buy stance.
Fundamentally, revenue has contracted by roughly 6% year‑on‑year while margins remain respectable (gross ~38%, operating ~9%). Return on equity is solid at about 13% and the forward P/E is near 11, but free cash flow is negative and the payout ratio exceeds 80%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The DCF model values the stock near HK$3.31, suggesting a potential upside of around 40% and the analyst consensus leans toward a strong‑buy stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near technical support
- Bearish MACD and low RSI
- High dividend yield offering immediate income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside of ~40% based on intrinsic valuation
- Solid ROE and reasonable operating margins
- Cyclical recovery prospects for the apparel retail sector in China
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.80%
Profit Margin4.58%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE12.97%
ROA6.39%
Debt/Equity63.77
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowHK$2.5B
Free Cash FlowHK$-884249984
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
SupportHK$2.86
ResistanceHK$3.19
MA 20HK$3.01
MA 50HK$2.92
MA 200HK$3.08
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$3.31
Target PriceHK$4.03
Upside/Downside40.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.10
Volatility25.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.