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ITUB3:BMFBOVESPAItau Unibanco Holding S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

R$41.64

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ITUB3 shows a clear undervaluation signal, trading at a price‑earnings multiple well below the banking sector average while delivering a robust return on equity and a solid dividend payout. The technical picture supports a bullish outlook: the price sits above the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, and the recent trend is identified as bullish, though the MACD has turned bearish and the RSI hovers near the midpoint, suggesting some short‑term caution.
Recent corporate actions, including a announced share‑buyback program and a record‑high ROE following a digital transformation, add further upside potential, but the negative operating cash flow and high payout ratio raise questions about dividend sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price comfortably above the identified support level
  • bullish alignment with all major moving averages
  • MACD bearish divergence indicating possible near‑term pullback

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation discount relative to peers
  • strong ROE and ongoing digital transformation driving earnings growth
  • attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • consistent profitability and high capital reserves
  • strategic share‑buyback enhancing shareholder value
  • low beta indicating reduced sensitivity to market swings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin32.28%
P/E Ratio10.4
ROE21.01%
ROA1.55%
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowR$-25275000832
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.9
SupportR$40.23
ResistanceR$46.12
MA 20R$43.00
MA 50R$41.26
MA 200R$35.06
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.53%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Volatility30.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.