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ISAT:IDXPT Indosat Tbk Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

IDR 2,020.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Indosat trades well above its intrinsic estimate, suggesting the market is pricing in optimism that may not be fully justified. Fundamental strength is evident in solid profit margins, healthy cash generation and a dividend yield that comfortably exceeds the average for the sector, while the payout ratio remains comfortably below the threshold that would endanger sustainability. Technical signals are mixed: the price sits near short‑term moving averages, the momentum indicator points to a neutral stance and the trend‑following oscillator sits below the overbought zone, but the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory and trading volume has been on a downtrend, hinting at waning short‑term enthusiasm.
Given the combination of an elevated market price, a bearish MACD, decreasing volume and a relatively low beta, the stock presents a moderate risk profile. The dividend’s reliability and the company’s consistent earnings growth provide a defensive cushion, making the security more attractive for investors with a longer horizon who can tolerate near‑term price pressure while benefiting from steady cash returns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD momentum
  • declining trading volume
  • price near near‑term support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong earnings growth
  • sustainable dividend payout
  • valuation premium relative to fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • robust cash flow generation
  • healthy dividend yield
  • stable operating margins and growth trajectory

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.10%
Profit Margin9.75%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE15.28%
ROA5.78%
Debt/Equity138.99
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowIDR21550.6B
Free Cash FlowIDR3766.1B
Industry P/E17.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.5
SupportIDR 1,920.00
ResistanceIDR 2,430.00
MA 20IDR 2,197.00
MA 50IDR 2,221.40
MA 200IDR 2,122.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.05

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 790.06
Target PriceIDR 2,740.83
Upside/Downside35.68%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility48.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.