GTY:NYSEGetty Realty Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-07 - not real-time
$32.57
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) is trading at $32.57, just below its 20‑day SMA of $32.67 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of $28.92, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a modest RSI of 53.4. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting some momentum weakness, yet the overall trend remains bullish with a beta of 0.15, implying low market volatility. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 24.1 versus an industry average of 31.9, and a price‑to‑book of 1.82, but the DCF‑derived fair value of $26.09 implies the stock is priced about 3.5% above intrinsic value. The dividend yield is attractive at 5.97%, though the payout ratio of 140% raises sustainability concerns. Recent material news highlights new long‑term tenant commitments and a reduction in near‑term lease expirations, bolstering the stability of cash flows.
Fundamentally, GTY delivers strong gross margins (96%) and operating margins (47%) with revenue growth of 5.4% YoY, and generates $122.8 M of free cash flow. However, leverage is elevated with a debt‑to‑equity of 81% and total debt of $551.6 M, while cash on hand is modest at $31.8 M. Volume trends are decreasing, hinting at potential liquidity constraints, and the high payout ratio may pressure future dividend policy. Taken together, the stock offers a compelling yield and solid operational performance, but investors should weigh the debt load and dividend sustainability when forming a view.
Fundamentally, GTY delivers strong gross margins (96%) and operating margins (47%) with revenue growth of 5.4% YoY, and generates $122.8 M of free cash flow. However, leverage is elevated with a debt‑to‑equity of 81% and total debt of $551.6 M, while cash on hand is modest at $31.8 M. Volume trends are decreasing, hinting at potential liquidity constraints, and the high payout ratio may pressure future dividend policy. Taken together, the stock offers a compelling yield and solid operational performance, but investors should weigh the debt load and dividend sustainability when forming a view.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support with decreasing volume
- High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
- Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum weakness
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term tenant commitments reducing lease expirations
- Strong operating margins and free cash flow generation
- Valuation discount to industry PE and solid yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated leverage (Debt/Equity 81%)
- Potential dividend cuts due to payout >100%
- Stable sector exposure but sensitivity to retail market cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO15.286665599548044
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.4
Support$31.56
Resistance$34.14
MA 20$32.67
MA 50$31.97
MA 200$28.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.39
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility15.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.