FR:NYSEFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$58.67
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) delivers solid fundamentals with 7.7% revenue growth, a 42% operating margin, and a 3.41% dividend yield backed by a 95% payout ratio. The stock trades at a forward PE of ~32 and a price‑to‑FFO proxy of 17.4, while analysts’ median target of $66 suggests roughly 11% upside from the current $58.67 price.
Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit just above the price, RSI is neutral at 46.7, and MACD shows a bearish divergence, but volume is increasing and support at $56.67 provides a cushion. Recent activist pressure from Land & Buildings raised governance concerns, yet the investor’s withdrawal eases short‑term boardroom risk. Overall, FR combines attractive income, resilient cash flow, and modest upside potential, tempered by near‑capacity leverage and a pending board transition.
Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit just above the price, RSI is neutral at 46.7, and MACD shows a bearish divergence, but volume is increasing and support at $56.67 provides a cushion. Recent activist pressure from Land & Buildings raised governance concerns, yet the investor’s withdrawal eases short‑term boardroom risk. Overall, FR combines attractive income, resilient cash flow, and modest upside potential, tempered by near‑capacity leverage and a pending board transition.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High dividend yield with near‑full payout
- Neutral technical stance and support level
- Recent governance activism creating short‑term uncertainty
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue and margin expansion driving cash flow
- Analyst price targets indicating ~11% upside
- Increasing volume suggesting growing investor interest
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable logistics demand underpinning industrial REIT fundamentals
- Sustainable dividend supported by strong operating cash flow
- Potential boardroom stabilization after activist withdrawal
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO17.38146746855538
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.7
Support$56.67
Resistance$62.23
MA 20$59.12
MA 50$59.62
MA 200$54.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility21.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.