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FR:NYSEFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time

$58.67

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) delivers solid fundamentals with 7.7% revenue growth, a 42% operating margin, and a 3.41% dividend yield backed by a 95% payout ratio. The stock trades at a forward PE of ~32 and a price‑to‑FFO proxy of 17.4, while analysts’ median target of $66 suggests roughly 11% upside from the current $58.67 price.
Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit just above the price, RSI is neutral at 46.7, and MACD shows a bearish divergence, but volume is increasing and support at $56.67 provides a cushion. Recent activist pressure from Land & Buildings raised governance concerns, yet the investor’s withdrawal eases short‑term boardroom risk. Overall, FR combines attractive income, resilient cash flow, and modest upside potential, tempered by near‑capacity leverage and a pending board transition.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield with near‑full payout
  • Neutral technical stance and support level
  • Recent governance activism creating short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue and margin expansion driving cash flow
  • Analyst price targets indicating ~11% upside
  • Increasing volume suggesting growing investor interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable logistics demand underpinning industrial REIT fundamentals
  • Sustainable dividend supported by strong operating cash flow
  • Potential boardroom stabilization after activist withdrawal

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO17.38146746855538

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.7
Support$56.67
Resistance$62.23
MA 20$59.12
MA 50$59.62
MA 200$54.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.75
Volatility21.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.