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GLPI:NASDAQGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-06 - not real-time

$44.42

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GLPI is trading at $44.42, roughly 2.5% below its 20‑day SMA of $46.45 and just above the identified support level of $43.64, suggesting limited downside in the near term. The RSI of 32.9 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish, indicating that price recovery may be tentative. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 15.1 is less than half the industry average of 32.0, and the price‑to‑FFO proxy of 11.1 aligns with peer ranges. The dividend yield of 7.03% is exceptionally high, though the payout ratio of 105% signals that current distributions exceed reported earnings. Operating margins are robust, with an operating margin of 89.3% and a profit margin of 51.7%, reflecting the stability of triple‑net lease structures. Recent Q4 2025 results were record‑setting, reinforcing cash‑flow generation and supporting the declared Q1 2026 dividend of $0.78 per share.
Leverage remains a key concern; total debt of $7.51 B dwarfs cash of $0.22 B, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 149.9% and a max drawdown of 16.6% over the past year. However, the company’s beta of 0.32 and low 30‑day volatility of 16.7% indicate limited price sensitivity to market swings. The recent $800 M senior note issuance at 5.625% due 2036 provides additional financing but modestly increases interest‑rate exposure. With a market cap of $12.6 B and average daily volume near 2.3 M shares, liquidity is comfortable. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (78.8) suggests bullish market bias, but the bearish MACD and proximity to support counsel caution. Overall, GLPI offers a high‑yield, undervalued profile tempered by substantial debt and mixed technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield of 7.03% provides immediate income
  • Price near technical support at $43.64 limits downside
  • Bearish MACD and neutral trend suggest limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation well below industry peers (P/E 15.1 vs 32.0)
  • Strong operating and profit margins sustain cash flow
  • Record Q4 results and raised dividend indicate earnings momentum

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Triple‑net lease structure offers stable, inflation‑linked rent streams
  • Low beta (0.32) and modest volatility support defensive positioning
  • Elevated leverage and >100% payout ratio warrant monitoring

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO11.139123053367287

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.9
Support$43.64
Resistance$49.24
MA 20$46.45
MA 50$46.60
MA 200$45.95
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility16.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.