GLPI:NASDAQGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-06 - not real-time
$44.42
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GLPI is trading at $44.42, roughly 2.5% below its 20‑day SMA of $46.45 and just above the identified support level of $43.64, suggesting limited downside in the near term. The RSI of 32.9 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish, indicating that price recovery may be tentative. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 15.1 is less than half the industry average of 32.0, and the price‑to‑FFO proxy of 11.1 aligns with peer ranges. The dividend yield of 7.03% is exceptionally high, though the payout ratio of 105% signals that current distributions exceed reported earnings. Operating margins are robust, with an operating margin of 89.3% and a profit margin of 51.7%, reflecting the stability of triple‑net lease structures. Recent Q4 2025 results were record‑setting, reinforcing cash‑flow generation and supporting the declared Q1 2026 dividend of $0.78 per share.
Leverage remains a key concern; total debt of $7.51 B dwarfs cash of $0.22 B, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 149.9% and a max drawdown of 16.6% over the past year. However, the company’s beta of 0.32 and low 30‑day volatility of 16.7% indicate limited price sensitivity to market swings. The recent $800 M senior note issuance at 5.625% due 2036 provides additional financing but modestly increases interest‑rate exposure. With a market cap of $12.6 B and average daily volume near 2.3 M shares, liquidity is comfortable. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (78.8) suggests bullish market bias, but the bearish MACD and proximity to support counsel caution. Overall, GLPI offers a high‑yield, undervalued profile tempered by substantial debt and mixed technical signals.
Leverage remains a key concern; total debt of $7.51 B dwarfs cash of $0.22 B, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 149.9% and a max drawdown of 16.6% over the past year. However, the company’s beta of 0.32 and low 30‑day volatility of 16.7% indicate limited price sensitivity to market swings. The recent $800 M senior note issuance at 5.625% due 2036 provides additional financing but modestly increases interest‑rate exposure. With a market cap of $12.6 B and average daily volume near 2.3 M shares, liquidity is comfortable. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (78.8) suggests bullish market bias, but the bearish MACD and proximity to support counsel caution. Overall, GLPI offers a high‑yield, undervalued profile tempered by substantial debt and mixed technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High dividend yield of 7.03% provides immediate income
- Price near technical support at $43.64 limits downside
- Bearish MACD and neutral trend suggest limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Valuation well below industry peers (P/E 15.1 vs 32.0)
- Strong operating and profit margins sustain cash flow
- Record Q4 results and raised dividend indicate earnings momentum
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Triple‑net lease structure offers stable, inflation‑linked rent streams
- Low beta (0.32) and modest volatility support defensive positioning
- Elevated leverage and >100% payout ratio warrant monitoring
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO11.139123053367287
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI32.9
Support$43.64
Resistance$49.24
MA 20$46.45
MA 50$46.60
MA 200$45.95
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility16.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.