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DNOW:NYSEDNOW Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$14.03

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DNOW Inc. posted a near‑doubling of revenue year‑over‑year (≈97% growth) to $1.18 B, yet earnings per share fell to a non‑GAAP loss of $0.01, missing consensus by a wide margin. Technical indicators show a neutral trend with the 20‑day SMA ($13.28) just above the 50‑day SMA ($12.91) and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.06), while the RSI sits at 63, suggesting modest momentum but no overbought condition. The stock trades at $14.03, roughly 14% above the DCF‑derived fair value of $7.16, yet its forward P/E of 14.9 is well below the industry average of 30.6, indicating a valuation gap that may be justified by ongoing legal scrutiny and a negative free cash flow position.
The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈34) and a sizable net debt load of $737 M against $116 M cash, while operating cash flow remains weak. Combined with decreasing volume, a 30‑day volatility of 28% and several pending securities class‑action investigations, the upside potential is tempered by liquidity and legal risks despite the strong top‑line growth.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue surge but earnings miss
  • Bullish MACD but neutral price trend
  • Legal and class‑action exposure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high revenue growth
  • Forward P/E advantage versus peers
  • Potential resolution of legal issues

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent negative free cash flow
  • Elevated debt levels
  • Industry cyclicality and competitive pressure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth97.50%
Profit Margin-4.52%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE-9.37%
ROA1.86%
Debt/Equity34.39
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$76.0M
Free Cash Flow$-723374976
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI63.2
Support$12.72
Resistance$14.16
MA 20$13.28
MA 50$12.91
MA 200$13.77
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$7.16
Target Price$16.00
Upside/Downside14.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility28.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.