AAPL:NASDAQ
Apple Inc.
$272.41
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Data as of 2025-11-16 - not real-time. AI-generated analysis may contain inaccuracies.
Trading Recommendations
Short Term
< 1 yearhold
Conviction: 7/10
Key Factors
- Technical resistance at $277.32 may cap upside near-term, with overbought RSI at 69.73 suggesting consolidation.
- Strong institutional inflow and positive analyst sentiment offset valuation concerns in immediate timeframe.
- Support level at $265 provides downside protection for position holders within 3-month horizon.
Medium Term
1-3 yearshold
Conviction: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value of $165.43 indicates 39% overvaluation, creating medium-term downside risk despite positive sentiment.
- Analyst consensus price target of $278.22 reflects modest upside, with 26 analysts maintaining Buy rating.
- Revenue growth of 6.43% and FCF of $98.77B support current valuation, but macroeconomic headwinds could compress margins.
Long Term
> 3 yearsbuy
Conviction: 7/10
Key Factors
- ROE of 151.59% and ROA of 28.7% demonstrate exceptional capital efficiency and moat strength.
- Apple Intelligence and services growth ($28.75B in Q1 2025) position company for sustainable long-term revenue diversification.
- Debt-to-equity of 1.34 with strong operating cash flow enables continued shareholder returns despite premium valuation multiple.
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.43%
Profit Margin26.92%
P/E Ratio36.5
ROE151.59%
ROA28.70%
Debt/Equity1.34
P/B Ratio57.4
Op. Cash Flow$111.5B
Free Cash Flow$98.8B
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.7
Support$265.00
Resistance$277.32
MA 20$269.18
MA 50$267.42
MA 200$257.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68
Valuation
Fair Value$165.43
Target Price$278.22
Upside/Downside2.07%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.38%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.17
Volatility2.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Market Sentiment
Analyst Sentiment
RatingBuy
Analysts26
Target Changes+3
Institutional
Ownership68.50%
Flow (30d)Inflow
Put/Call Ratio0.73
Social Sentiment
OverallPositive