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VRDN:NASDAQViridian Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time

$16.61

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Viridian Therapeutics is trading at $16.61, well below its 20‑day (14.84), 50‑day (20.91) and 200‑day (24.32) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price backdrop. The Relative Strength Index sits near neutral at 48.9, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal (-0.99 vs -1.85), generating a bullish histogram and a bullish MACD signal. The stock is anchored by a support level around $13.18 and faces resistance near $20, with a 30‑day volatility of an extreme 172% and a beta of 1.23, underscoring a highly volatile, high‑beta profile.
On the fundamentals side, VRDN reports negative earnings (trailing EPS -3.35) and a steep operating loss, yet it holds a robust cash cushion of $762 M against modest debt of $53 M (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 8.4). Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $33.5, implying an upside of over 100%. The upcoming PDUFA decision for its lead candidate Veligrotrug in June and a recent upsized public offering provide both a potential catalyst and additional runway, making the stock a high‑risk, high‑reward play.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming FDA PDUFA decision in June
  • Bullish MACD crossover despite bearish price trend
  • Support level near $13.18 offering downside protection

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus median target of $33.5 indicating >100% upside
  • Strong cash position from recent capital raise
  • Progression of pipeline candidates beyond Veligrotrug

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Potential market‑changing approval for IGF‑1R therapy
  • Sustained cash runway enabling further R&D investment
  • Strategic positioning in rare‑disease biotech with limited competition

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth95.80%
P/E Ratio-6.9
ROE-58.14%
ROA-33.25%
Debt/Equity8.39
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$-303392000
Free Cash Flow$-182550752
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.9
Support$13.18
Resistance$20.00
MA 20$14.84
MA 50$20.91
MA 200$24.32
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$34.13
Upside/Downside105.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility172.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.