VRDN:NASDAQViridian Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time
$16.61
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Viridian Therapeutics is trading at $16.61, well below its 20‑day (14.84), 50‑day (20.91) and 200‑day (24.32) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price backdrop. The Relative Strength Index sits near neutral at 48.9, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal (-0.99 vs -1.85), generating a bullish histogram and a bullish MACD signal. The stock is anchored by a support level around $13.18 and faces resistance near $20, with a 30‑day volatility of an extreme 172% and a beta of 1.23, underscoring a highly volatile, high‑beta profile.
On the fundamentals side, VRDN reports negative earnings (trailing EPS -3.35) and a steep operating loss, yet it holds a robust cash cushion of $762 M against modest debt of $53 M (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 8.4). Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $33.5, implying an upside of over 100%. The upcoming PDUFA decision for its lead candidate Veligrotrug in June and a recent upsized public offering provide both a potential catalyst and additional runway, making the stock a high‑risk, high‑reward play.
On the fundamentals side, VRDN reports negative earnings (trailing EPS -3.35) and a steep operating loss, yet it holds a robust cash cushion of $762 M against modest debt of $53 M (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 8.4). Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $33.5, implying an upside of over 100%. The upcoming PDUFA decision for its lead candidate Veligrotrug in June and a recent upsized public offering provide both a potential catalyst and additional runway, making the stock a high‑risk, high‑reward play.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Upcoming FDA PDUFA decision in June
- Bullish MACD crossover despite bearish price trend
- Support level near $13.18 offering downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus median target of $33.5 indicating >100% upside
- Strong cash position from recent capital raise
- Progression of pipeline candidates beyond Veligrotrug
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Potential market‑changing approval for IGF‑1R therapy
- Sustained cash runway enabling further R&D investment
- Strategic positioning in rare‑disease biotech with limited competition
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth95.80%
P/E Ratio-6.9
ROE-58.14%
ROA-33.25%
Debt/Equity8.39
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$-303392000
Free Cash Flow$-182550752
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.9
Support$13.18
Resistance$20.00
MA 20$14.84
MA 50$20.91
MA 200$24.32
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Target Price$34.13
Upside/Downside105.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.23
Volatility172.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.