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VRE:NYSEVeris Residential, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time

$18.97

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Veris Residential (VRE) is trading at $18.97, just below its 20‑day SMA of $18.93 and 50‑day SMA of $18.91, indicating short‑term price stability. The RSI of 67 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, while a bearish MACD histogram signals potential short‑term downside pressure. Valuation metrics are attractive: the forward PE is negative due to a projected EPS decline, but the trailing PE of 25.99 is well below the industry average of 32.57, and the price‑to‑book of 1.54 reflects a modest premium to net assets. Dividend yield sits at 1.69% with a payout ratio of 44%, and free cash flow of $109 M supports current distributions. A DCF‑derived fair‑value ratio of 0.96 and an upside estimate of roughly 4% suggest the market may be slightly undervaluing the shares.
The company is slated for a $19‑per‑share cash acquisition by an Affinius Capital‑led consortium, placing the transaction price just above current trading levels and providing a clear short‑term catalyst. However, multiple law firms have launched investigations into the deal’s fiduciary adequacy, injecting legal and execution risk. Financially, VRE carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 109% and a beta of 0.19, indicating low market volatility but significant leverage exposure. Operating margins remain solid at 18.5% and profit margin at 24.6%, yet revenue has slipped 1.6% year‑over‑year. Overall, the stock balances modest upside from the pending acquisition against heightened regulatory scrutiny and debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Proximity to the $19 acquisition price
  • Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
  • Current dividend yield and cash flow support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Uncertainty surrounding legal investigations
  • High leverage that may limit upside
  • Stable REIT cash generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend policy
  • Sector fundamentals of residential REITs
  • Debt level requiring ongoing monitoring

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin24.62%
P/E Ratio26.0
ROE5.92%
ROA1.29%
Debt/Equity109.45
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$76.8M
Free Cash Flow$109.3M
Industry P/E32.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.3
Support$18.88
Resistance$19.01
MA 20$18.93
MA 50$18.91
MA 200$16.05
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$0.96
Target Price$19.75
Upside/Downside4.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.69%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility1.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.