DMRC:NASDAQDigimarc Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-14 - not real-time
$5.13
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Digimarc Corporation is bearish at $5.13, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 21.8%. RSI sits at 33.7, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $4.86 up to resistance at $7.53.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 124.2% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 7.8% on a -99.8% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 72.0%, a beta of 2.46 and a maximum drawdown of 69.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 124.2% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 7.8% on a -99.8% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 72.0%, a beta of 2.46 and a maximum drawdown of 69.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Contract losses offset margin gains and accelerating gift card momentum.BEAVERTON, Ore., August 03, 2026--Digimarc Corporation NASDAQ: DMRC , the company building the trust layer for the...Digimarc stock is drawing fresh attention after a new filing showed BlackRock taking an USD 8.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 7.29
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 7.29
- Analyst targets imply +124.2% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -99.8%
- Analyst targets imply +124.2% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -82.9%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.80%
Profit Margin-99.80%
P/E Ratio-14.7
ROE-82.86%
ROA-37.68%
Debt/Equity16.23
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow$-4242000
Free Cash Flow$7.0M
Industry P/E32.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.7
Support$4.86
Resistance$7.53
MA 20$5.84
MA 50$6.43
MA 200$7.29
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.57
Valuation
Fair Value$4.04
Target Price$11.50
Upside/Downside124.17%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.46
Volatility72.05%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.