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ADRO:IDXPT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

IDR 2,440.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ADRO is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the short‑term moving average positioned above longer‑term averages and a positive MACD divergence supporting momentum. Volume is on the rise, reinforcing the upward bias, while the RSI sits comfortably below overbought levels.
Fundamentally, the stock appears modestly undervalued relative to peers, boasting a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a high dividend yield, though the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and cash generation against flat revenue growth, sector‑specific regulatory pressures, and the sustainability of the dividend.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • Rising trading volume
  • Price above short‑term moving average

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE
  • High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout
  • Flat revenue growth but solid cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to thermal‑coal sector transition risk
  • Strong balance sheet with low leverage
  • Uncertainty around long‑term dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin23.90%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE9.44%
ROA4.85%
Debt/Equity16.41
P/B Ratio15641.0
Op. Cash FlowIDR594.1M
Free Cash FlowIDR-74168248
Industry P/E22.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.9
SupportIDR 2,200.00
ResistanceIDR 2,530.00
MA 20IDR 2,366.00
MA 50IDR 2,236.50
MA 200IDR 1,941.35
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 0.22
Target PriceIDR 2,687.03
Upside/Downside10.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield12.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility34.93%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.