ADRO:IDXPT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
IDR 2,440.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ADRO is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the short‑term moving average positioned above longer‑term averages and a positive MACD divergence supporting momentum. Volume is on the rise, reinforcing the upward bias, while the RSI sits comfortably below overbought levels.
Fundamentally, the stock appears modestly undervalued relative to peers, boasting a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a high dividend yield, though the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and cash generation against flat revenue growth, sector‑specific regulatory pressures, and the sustainability of the dividend.
Fundamentally, the stock appears modestly undervalued relative to peers, boasting a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a high dividend yield, though the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and cash generation against flat revenue growth, sector‑specific regulatory pressures, and the sustainability of the dividend.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover
- Rising trading volume
- Price above short‑term moving average
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to industry PE
- High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout
- Flat revenue growth but solid cash position
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to thermal‑coal sector transition risk
- Strong balance sheet with low leverage
- Uncertainty around long‑term dividend policy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin23.90%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE9.44%
ROA4.85%
Debt/Equity16.41
P/B Ratio15641.0
Op. Cash FlowIDR594.1M
Free Cash FlowIDR-74168248
Industry P/E22.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.9
SupportIDR 2,200.00
ResistanceIDR 2,530.00
MA 20IDR 2,366.00
MA 50IDR 2,236.50
MA 200IDR 1,941.35
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 0.22
Target PriceIDR 2,687.03
Upside/Downside10.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield12.57%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility34.93%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.