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6806:HKEXShenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

¥21,190.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hirose Electric (6806) is trading at ¥21,190, comfortably above its 50‑day (¥19,579) and 200‑day (¥18,514) SMAs but just below the 20‑day SMA (¥21,861), indicating short‑term pressure near a key technical level. The RSI sits at a neutral 51.5 and the MACD histogram is negative, signaling a bearish momentum shift despite the overall bullish trend and a solid support zone at ¥20,060. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a PE of 23 versus an industry average of 34, a DCF fair value of ¥23,349 and an implied upside of about 12%, while delivering a 2.28% dividend yield supported by a payout ratio of 53% and robust cash flows.
Given the low beta (~0.49), stable volume, and manageable debt, the company presents a balanced risk‑reward profile, though the high 30‑day volatility (56%) suggests price swings could persist in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price testing support at ¥20,060
  • Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term bearish momentum
  • Stable trading volume reducing liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside of ~12% and PE advantage over peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Continued bullish trend direction and low beta limiting market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong free cash flow supporting growth and dividend continuity
  • Diversified product portfolio serving consumer, automotive and industrial markets
  • Reasonable leverage and solid balance sheet enabling strategic investments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin15.02%
P/E Ratio23.1
ROE8.03%
ROA6.02%
Debt/Equity1.61
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow¥47.9B
Free Cash Flow¥34.0B
Industry P/E34.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.6
Support¥20,060.00
Resistance¥24,035.00
MA 20¥21,860.75
MA 50¥19,579.70
MA 200¥18,513.83
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair Value¥23,348.51
Target Price¥23,800.00
Upside/Downside12.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility56.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.