6806:HKEXShenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
¥21,190.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hirose Electric (6806) is trading at ¥21,190, comfortably above its 50‑day (¥19,579) and 200‑day (¥18,514) SMAs but just below the 20‑day SMA (¥21,861), indicating short‑term pressure near a key technical level. The RSI sits at a neutral 51.5 and the MACD histogram is negative, signaling a bearish momentum shift despite the overall bullish trend and a solid support zone at ¥20,060. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a PE of 23 versus an industry average of 34, a DCF fair value of ¥23,349 and an implied upside of about 12%, while delivering a 2.28% dividend yield supported by a payout ratio of 53% and robust cash flows.
Given the low beta (~0.49), stable volume, and manageable debt, the company presents a balanced risk‑reward profile, though the high 30‑day volatility (56%) suggests price swings could persist in the near term.
Given the low beta (~0.49), stable volume, and manageable debt, the company presents a balanced risk‑reward profile, though the high 30‑day volatility (56%) suggests price swings could persist in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price testing support at ¥20,060
- Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term bearish momentum
- Stable trading volume reducing liquidity concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF‑derived upside of ~12% and PE advantage over peers
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Continued bullish trend direction and low beta limiting market volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong free cash flow supporting growth and dividend continuity
- Diversified product portfolio serving consumer, automotive and industrial markets
- Reasonable leverage and solid balance sheet enabling strategic investments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin15.02%
P/E Ratio23.1
ROE8.03%
ROA6.02%
Debt/Equity1.61
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow¥47.9B
Free Cash Flow¥34.0B
Industry P/E34.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.6
Support¥20,060.00
Resistance¥24,035.00
MA 20¥21,860.75
MA 50¥19,579.70
MA 200¥18,513.83
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair Value¥23,348.51
Target Price¥23,800.00
Upside/Downside12.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility56.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.