6781:TWSEAdvanced Energy Solution Holding Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
NT$1,005.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Advanced Energy Solution is trading at TWD 1005, well below its 20‑day SMA of 1094.5 and the 200‑day SMA of 1180.4, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, while the RSI of 37 signals modest oversold conditions. MACD remains in a bearish configuration with the histogram at –7.1, and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting limited buying pressure as the price hovers above the identified support of TWD 935 and below resistance at TWD 1225. Fundamentally, the company shines with a 74.6% revenue growth year‑over‑year, a solid profit margin of 21.5%, and a ROE of 21.9%, while its forward P/E of 20.15 is well under the industry average of 29.36, and the DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 1163 implies a potential upside of over 50%.
The balance sheet is strong, featuring TWD 7.88 bn in cash against a modest debt of TWD 0.39 bn, and a dividend yield of 1.24% with a payout ratio near 34%, supporting dividend sustainability. Despite high 30‑day volatility (≈61%) and a beta slightly above 1, the company's global exposure to growing lithium‑ion battery demand and its attractive valuation suggest a long‑term buying case, while short‑term price action remains pressured.
The balance sheet is strong, featuring TWD 7.88 bn in cash against a modest debt of TWD 0.39 bn, and a dividend yield of 1.24% with a payout ratio near 34%, supporting dividend sustainability. Despite high 30‑day volatility (≈61%) and a beta slightly above 1, the company's global exposure to growing lithium‑ion battery demand and its attractive valuation suggest a long‑term buying case, while short‑term price action remains pressured.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below all SMAs, negative MACD)
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Proximity to support level at TWD 935
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (74.6%) and high profitability
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and forward P/E
- Robust cash position and sustainable dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for lithium‑ion battery modules
- Solid return metrics (ROE >20%, profit margin >21%)
- Healthy balance sheet with ample cash and low debt
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth74.60%
Profit Margin21.57%
P/E Ratio27.0
ROE21.85%
ROA11.10%
Debt/Equity2.55
P/B Ratio5.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$3.5B
Free Cash FlowNT$2.5B
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.1
SupportNT$935.00
ResistanceNT$1,225.00
MA 20NT$1,094.50
MA 50NT$1,178.50
MA 200NT$1,180.45
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.84
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$1,163.66
Target PriceNT$1,523.75
Upside/Downside51.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.24%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.09
Volatility61.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.