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002966:SZSEBank of Suzhou Co Ltd Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥8.36

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bank of Suzhou trades at 8.36 CNY, well below its DCF-derived fair value of 13.60 CNY, implying an upside of roughly 15 %. The stock’s PE ratio of 7.1 is less than half the industry average of 16.5, and its price‑to‑book of 0.75 further underscores a value tilt. With a dividend yield near 5 % and a modest payout ratio of 34 %, earnings appear sufficient to sustain the payout. Low beta (0.09) and a 30‑day volatility of 13.6 % suggest limited price swings, while increasing volume supports liquidity. Fundamentally, the bank shows solid profitability (operating margin 62 %) and a healthy ROE around 10 % despite modest revenue growth.
Technically, the price sits above the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (8.23 and 8.20) but below the 200‑day SMA (8.42), indicating a neutral longer‑term trend. A bullish MACD histogram (+0.015) and RSI near 60 point to modest buying pressure, with support at 8.06 and resistance at 8.43 providing a clear short‑term range.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate resistance at 8.43
  • bullish MACD and rising volume
  • support level at 8.06 limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 15 % upside to DCF fair value
  • strong dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • valuation multiples far below industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • stable profitability and solid ROE
  • low beta and limited volatility
  • sustainable dividend supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.30%
Profit Margin48.35%
P/E Ratio7.1
ROE9.99%
ROA0.77%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥14.8B
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.9
SupportCN¥8.06
ResistanceCN¥8.43
MA 20CN¥8.23
MA 50CN¥8.20
MA 200CN¥8.42
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.11

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥13.60
Target PriceCN¥9.62
Upside/Downside15.07%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility13.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.