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ZD:NASDAQZiff Davis, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$46.26

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ziff Davis (ZD) is trading at $46.26, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈$44.63) and 50‑day (≈$44.74) simple moving averages, while the MACD histogram remains positive and the MACD line sits above its signal, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. However, the RSI at 56 suggests the stock is still in neutral territory and the 30‑day volatility of over 42% points to sizable price swings. The forward PE of ~8.3 contrasts sharply with the trailing PE of ~39.5 and the industry average PE of ~17, implying that earnings are expected to accelerate but current valuation appears stretched. A DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $94.6 would imply a >100% upside, yet analyst consensus targets only $48‑$49, limiting upside to about 5% and flagging a possible overvaluation at current levels.
The company’s revenue has slipped 1.9% YoY, margins are thin (operating margin ~1.1%, profit margin ~3.1%) and free cash flow is marginally negative, while recent headlines note the $1.2 B sale of its Connectivity division to Accenture – a move that could erode core revenue streams. Despite a “Buy” consensus from six analysts and a strong brand portfolio (IGN, PCMag, Everyday Health, etc.), the high volatility, modest liquidity, and exposure to ad‑spend cycles in the Communication Services sector temper the outlook, especially for long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Proximity to resistance around $48.5
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus “Buy” with median target $48
  • Forward earnings outlook (PE ~8.3) suggests earnings acceleration
  • Modest upside (~5%) to consensus target

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue decline and thin margins after Connectivity sale
  • High valuation multiples relative to earnings
  • Negative free cash flow and high price volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.90%
Profit Margin3.14%
P/E Ratio39.5
ROE2.08%
ROA3.40%
Debt/Equity51.95
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$416.4M
Free Cash Flow$-15431375
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.1
Support$40.31
Resistance$48.51
MA 20$44.63
MA 50$44.74
MA 200$38.29
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$94.56
Target Price$48.67
Upside/Downside5.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.85
Volatility42.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.