ZION:NASDAQZions Bancorporation N.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-12 - not real-time
$60.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Zions Bancorporation posted a Q1 earnings beat, with revenue up 10% year‑over‑year and GAAP EPS of $1.56, comfortably above consensus estimates. The bank’s trailing P/E of ~9.4 is well below the industry average of ~16.5, underscoring a clear valuation discount. A dividend yield near 3% combined with a modest 27% payout ratio suggests the dividend is well‑covered by earnings and cash reserves. The discounted cash‑flow model values the shares at roughly $136, implying an upside of over 13% versus the current price of $60.8. Operating margins of 36% and a ROE of 14% indicate strong profitability for a regional bank. Technically, the stock sits above its 50‑day (≈$59) and 200‑day (≈$57) SMAs, confirming a bullish trend, while the 20‑day SMA (~$62.5) provides a near‑term resistance point. RSI at 46 signals a neutral stance, and the MACD histogram is modestly negative, hinting at short‑term pressure. Support around $60.6 aligns closely with today’s price, offering a floor for investors. The beta of 1.31 and 30‑day volatility of 24% reflect higher market sensitivity, but volume remains stable. Recent news of an earnings beat and an upcoming ex‑dividend date are positive catalysts, though a March investigation by a law firm adds a layer of regulatory uncertainty. Overall, the blend of strong fundamentals, attractive valuation, and dividend income makes ZION a compelling buy for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Given the modest short‑term technical weakness and the pending legal scrutiny, a cautious stance is advisable now, with a view to add positions on any pull‑back toward the support level. The upside potential, defensive dividend, and undervalued status outweigh the elevated beta and sector‑specific risks, supporting a buy recommendation for investors with a medium to long horizon.
Given the modest short‑term technical weakness and the pending legal scrutiny, a cautious stance is advisable now, with a view to add positions on any pull‑back toward the support level. The upside potential, defensive dividend, and undervalued status outweigh the elevated beta and sector‑specific risks, supporting a buy recommendation for investors with a medium to long horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Earnings beat but MACD bearish
- Price near immediate support
- Upcoming ex‑dividend date
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend above 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs
- Undervalued relative to DCF and peers
- Attractive dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside to fair value
- Strong profitability and cash generation
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.20%
Profit Margin28.36%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE14.12%
ROA1.09%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI46.6
Support$60.64
Resistance$64.79
MA 20$62.45
MA 50$59.07
MA 200$57.11
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.98
Valuation
Fair Value$135.78
Target Price$68.75
Upside/Downside13.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.31
Volatility24.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.