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ZION:NASDAQZions Bancorporation N.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-12 - not real-time

$60.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zions Bancorporation posted a Q1 earnings beat, with revenue up 10% year‑over‑year and GAAP EPS of $1.56, comfortably above consensus estimates. The bank’s trailing P/E of ~9.4 is well below the industry average of ~16.5, underscoring a clear valuation discount. A dividend yield near 3% combined with a modest 27% payout ratio suggests the dividend is well‑covered by earnings and cash reserves. The discounted cash‑flow model values the shares at roughly $136, implying an upside of over 13% versus the current price of $60.8. Operating margins of 36% and a ROE of 14% indicate strong profitability for a regional bank. Technically, the stock sits above its 50‑day (≈$59) and 200‑day (≈$57) SMAs, confirming a bullish trend, while the 20‑day SMA (~$62.5) provides a near‑term resistance point. RSI at 46 signals a neutral stance, and the MACD histogram is modestly negative, hinting at short‑term pressure. Support around $60.6 aligns closely with today’s price, offering a floor for investors. The beta of 1.31 and 30‑day volatility of 24% reflect higher market sensitivity, but volume remains stable. Recent news of an earnings beat and an upcoming ex‑dividend date are positive catalysts, though a March investigation by a law firm adds a layer of regulatory uncertainty. Overall, the blend of strong fundamentals, attractive valuation, and dividend income makes ZION a compelling buy for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Given the modest short‑term technical weakness and the pending legal scrutiny, a cautious stance is advisable now, with a view to add positions on any pull‑back toward the support level. The upside potential, defensive dividend, and undervalued status outweigh the elevated beta and sector‑specific risks, supporting a buy recommendation for investors with a medium to long horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Earnings beat but MACD bearish
  • Price near immediate support
  • Upcoming ex‑dividend date

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend above 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs
  • Undervalued relative to DCF and peers
  • Attractive dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside to fair value
  • Strong profitability and cash generation
  • Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.20%
Profit Margin28.36%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE14.12%
ROA1.09%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.6
Support$60.64
Resistance$64.79
MA 20$62.45
MA 50$59.07
MA 200$57.11
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.98

Valuation

Fair Value$135.78
Target Price$68.75
Upside/Downside13.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.31
Volatility24.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.