ZKH:NYSEZKH Group Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-12 - not real-time
$3.02
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: ZKH trades at $3.02, sitting below its 20‑day (≈$3.04), 50‑day (≈$3.11) and 200‑day (≈$3.15) moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI at 46.9 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, offering a faint bullish hint, and volume is on an increasing trajectory. Support is anchored near $2.91 with resistance at $3.24, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 28% signals a fairly choppy price environment.
Fundamental outlook: The company posted $8.99 B in revenue with 7.9% YoY growth, yet margins remain thin (gross 16.4%, operating –1.1%) and earnings are currently negative (trailing EPS –$0.10). Forward EPS of $0.20 yields a forward P/E of about 15, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $13.09 implies a ~56% upside versus the current price. Cash of $1.86 B offsets a modest debt load of $0.43 B, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 14.5 raises financial risk. Recent filings of the FY2025 20‑F and the upcoming Q1 2026 results release provide fresh transparency for investors.
Fundamental outlook: The company posted $8.99 B in revenue with 7.9% YoY growth, yet margins remain thin (gross 16.4%, operating –1.1%) and earnings are currently negative (trailing EPS –$0.10). Forward EPS of $0.20 yields a forward P/E of about 15, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $13.09 implies a ~56% upside versus the current price. Cash of $1.86 B offsets a modest debt load of $0.43 B, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 14.5 raises financial risk. Recent filings of the FY2025 20‑F and the upcoming Q1 2026 results release provide fresh transparency for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages indicating short‑term downside pressure
- Increasing volume and a marginal MACD bullish crossover
- Proximity to support level at $2.91 and upcoming Q1 earnings release
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E around 15 suggests reasonable valuation for anticipated earnings
- DCF fair value indicating >50% upside potential
- Revenue growth of ~8% and expanding AI‑driven procurement services
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price relative to sales (P/S ≈0.05) and book value
- Strategic position in China’s large MRO market with logistics and AI capabilities
- Potential for margin improvement and sustained cash generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.90%
Profit Margin-1.55%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE-4.63%
ROA-2.03%
Debt/Equity14.52
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$8.8M
Free Cash Flow$35.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.9
Support$2.91
Resistance$3.24
MA 20$3.04
MA 50$3.11
MA 200$3.15
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.84
Valuation
Fair Value$13.09
Target Price$4.73
Upside/Downside56.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.41
Volatility27.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
ZJYL
JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL LTD.
STOCKZJK
ZJK Industrial Co., Ltd.
STOCKZIP
ZipRecruiter, Inc.
STOCKZIONP
Zions Bancorporation N.A. - Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th ownership interest in a share of Series A Floating-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer
STOCKZION
Zions Bancorporation N.A.
STOCKZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.