YTRA:NASDAQYatra Online, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time
$0.92
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) is trading at $0.915, which sits below its 20‑day (≈$0.922), 50‑day (≈$1.00) and 200‑day (≈$1.40) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI of 44 indicates the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD shows a subtle bullish crossover with the histogram turning positive, suggesting a possible short‑term momentum shift. Volume is on an increasing trend, providing some support for a bounce off the identified support level near $0.86. However, the 30‑day volatility of roughly 47% and a beta close to 1 highlight pronounced price swings and market‑aligned risk. Fundamentally, YTRA reports a 13.7% revenue decline year‑over‑year and negative operating and profit margins, yet it generates positive EBITDA and maintains a solid cash balance of $2.48 B against $1.03 B of debt. The forward PE of about 10 and a price‑to‑book ratio near 1.04 are modest, but the DCF‑derived fair value of $133.5 translates into an implied upside of over 200%, dwarfing its current market cap of $56 M.
The travel services sector remains cyclical and sensitive to economic and regulatory shifts, especially in its primary market of India, introducing medium to high geographic and regulatory risk. With no dividend and a thin liquidity profile—average daily volumes far below the 10‑day average—the stock is best approached with caution, but the stark valuation gap and improving forward earnings outlook provide a compelling case for a value‑oriented buy stance over the medium to long term.
The travel services sector remains cyclical and sensitive to economic and regulatory shifts, especially in its primary market of India, introducing medium to high geographic and regulatory risk. With no dividend and a thin liquidity profile—average daily volumes far below the 10‑day average—the stock is best approached with caution, but the stark valuation gap and improving forward earnings outlook provide a compelling case for a value‑oriented buy stance over the medium to long term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages indicating bearish bias
- Increasing volume and bullish MACD histogram suggesting a potential short‑term bounce
- High short‑term volatility and thin liquidity increasing execution risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value implies >200% upside despite current price
- Forward PE around 10 and modest price‑to‑book ratio signal reasonable valuation
- Positive forward EPS and solid cash cushion offset current earnings losses
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑run growth potential in India's expanding travel market
- Strategic positioning across air, hotel, and ancillary services offering diversification
- Improving macro‑economic outlook for consumer cyclical spending could lift margins
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.70%
Profit Margin-2.20%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE-0.81%
ROA-0.59%
Debt/Equity12.33
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$584.3M
Free Cash Flow$520.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support$0.86
Resistance$1.04
MA 20$0.92
MA 50$1.00
MA 200$1.40
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93
Valuation
Fair Value$133.54
Target Price$2.84
Upside/Downside210.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.98
Volatility46.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.