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YTRA:NASDAQYatra Online, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$0.85

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Yatra Online trades at $0.85, hovering just above its calculated support of $0.81, indicating limited downside cushion. Technical indicators are broadly bearish, with the 20‑day SMA below the 50‑day SMA and a negative MACD histogram. The RSI sits in the low‑40s, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, compounding liquidity concerns for a market‑cap of roughly $52 million. Volatility is elevated at over 50 % on a 30‑day basis, amplifying short‑term price swings. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and profit margins and a trailing EPS of –$0.02, underscoring ongoing earnings weakness.
Yet cash on hand exceeds $2.4 billion and free cash flow remains positive, providing a buffer against debt obligations. The debt‑to‑equity ratio is high, reflecting leverage that could pressure the balance sheet if revenue does not improve. The DCF model values the stock near $131, implying a severe undervaluation relative to current pricing. The "Extreme Greed" reading on the Fear & Greed Index indicates market optimism that may be disconnected from fundamentals. The recent Nasdaq notification letter raises a compliance risk that could affect listing status. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of deep valuation discount and significant operational and market risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish SMA crossover
  • Negative MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Nasdaq compliance uncertainty and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Massive DCF valuation gap suggesting upside potential
  • Positive free cash flow despite negative earnings
  • Continued leverage and need to resolve listing qualification

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental undervaluation relative to fair value
  • Strong cash position versus debt
  • Long‑run growth prospects in India's travel services market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-13.70%
Profit Margin-2.20%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE-0.81%
ROA-0.59%
Debt/Equity12.33
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$584.3M
Free Cash Flow$520.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.4
Support$0.81
Resistance$0.96
MA 20$0.88
MA 50$0.90
MA 200$1.28
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value$130.66
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility51.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.