YTRA:NASDAQYatra Online, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$0.85
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Yatra Online trades at $0.85, hovering just above its calculated support of $0.81, indicating limited downside cushion. Technical indicators are broadly bearish, with the 20‑day SMA below the 50‑day SMA and a negative MACD histogram. The RSI sits in the low‑40s, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, compounding liquidity concerns for a market‑cap of roughly $52 million. Volatility is elevated at over 50 % on a 30‑day basis, amplifying short‑term price swings. Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and profit margins and a trailing EPS of –$0.02, underscoring ongoing earnings weakness.
Yet cash on hand exceeds $2.4 billion and free cash flow remains positive, providing a buffer against debt obligations. The debt‑to‑equity ratio is high, reflecting leverage that could pressure the balance sheet if revenue does not improve. The DCF model values the stock near $131, implying a severe undervaluation relative to current pricing. The "Extreme Greed" reading on the Fear & Greed Index indicates market optimism that may be disconnected from fundamentals. The recent Nasdaq notification letter raises a compliance risk that could affect listing status. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of deep valuation discount and significant operational and market risks.
Yet cash on hand exceeds $2.4 billion and free cash flow remains positive, providing a buffer against debt obligations. The debt‑to‑equity ratio is high, reflecting leverage that could pressure the balance sheet if revenue does not improve. The DCF model values the stock near $131, implying a severe undervaluation relative to current pricing. The "Extreme Greed" reading on the Fear & Greed Index indicates market optimism that may be disconnected from fundamentals. The recent Nasdaq notification letter raises a compliance risk that could affect listing status. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of deep valuation discount and significant operational and market risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish SMA crossover
- Negative MACD histogram and decreasing volume
- Nasdaq compliance uncertainty and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Massive DCF valuation gap suggesting upside potential
- Positive free cash flow despite negative earnings
- Continued leverage and need to resolve listing qualification
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental undervaluation relative to fair value
- Strong cash position versus debt
- Long‑run growth prospects in India's travel services market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.70%
Profit Margin-2.20%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE-0.81%
ROA-0.59%
Debt/Equity12.33
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$584.3M
Free Cash Flow$520.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.4
Support$0.81
Resistance$0.96
MA 20$0.88
MA 50$0.90
MA 200$1.28
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair Value$130.66
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.13
Volatility51.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.