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YTRA:NASDAQYatra Online, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-12 - not real-time

$0.96

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yatra Online is trading near its recent support level while technical indicators point to a bearish short‑term bias. The 20‑day moving average sits below the 50‑day average and the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming downward momentum, and volume has been trending lower, which limits upside potential in the near term.
However, the fundamentals tell a more nuanced story. Revenue is growing at a healthy double‑digit pace and gross bookings rose sharply in the latest quarter, drawing attention from hedge funds as a top Indian pick. The discounted cash‑flow model suggests the stock is priced well below intrinsic value, implying a sizable upside if the company can translate booking growth into profitability. Valuation multiples are modest, the price‑to‑book ratio hovers around parity, and the forward PE is attractive, but earnings are still negative and free cash flow is a concern. Market sentiment is extremely bullish, as reflected by the fear‑and‑greed index, which could fuel short‑term price rallies despite the bearish chart pattern. Overall, the stock presents a classic value‑growth paradox: attractive valuation and growth catalysts on one side, and significant execution and liquidity risks on the other.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical alignment with moving averages and MACD
  • Decreasing trading volume reducing price momentum
  • Proximity to identified support level limiting downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside implied by discounted cash‑flow valuation
  • Strong revenue and booking growth indicating improving top‑line
  • Positive analyst sentiment and hedge‑fund interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to intrinsic value offering long‑run upside
  • Potential to convert growth in bookings into sustainable profitability
  • Strategic positioning in a large, expanding travel market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.60%
Profit Margin-1.24%
P/E Ratio10.4
ROE0.82%
ROA-0.25%
Debt/Equity11.70
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$357.5M
Free Cash Flow$-212704128

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.5
Support$0.94
Resistance$1.20
MA 20$1.05
MA 50$1.06
MA 200$1.41
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.61

Valuation

Fair Value$98.43
Target Price$2.84
Upside/Downside196.04%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility69.41%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.