YSS:NYSEYork Space Systems Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$14.73
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
York Space Systems (YSS) is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with RSI hovering near the oversold region and a bearish MACD crossover, indicating short‑term downward pressure. Technical weakness is compounded by a 30‑day volatility of roughly 97% and a beta of 2.38, making the stock highly sensitive to market swings.
Fundamentally, the company shows a forward PE of ~28 versus an industry average of ~31 and a price‑to‑book below 1, suggesting a valuation cushion, yet operating margins are deeply negative and cash flow remains a concern. Recent material events – the completion of the ALL.SPACE acquisition and the readiness of a second tactical communications satellite for launch – provide a catalyst for top‑line growth, but an ongoing federal investigation adds regulatory headwinds.
Fundamentally, the company shows a forward PE of ~28 versus an industry average of ~31 and a price‑to‑book below 1, suggesting a valuation cushion, yet operating margins are deeply negative and cash flow remains a concern. Recent material events – the completion of the ALL.SPACE acquisition and the readiness of a second tactical communications satellite for launch – provide a catalyst for top‑line growth, but an ongoing federal investigation adds regulatory headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA, RSI ~31, MACD bearish)
- Proximity to recent support level and high volatility
- Regulatory investigation creating uncertainty
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Acquisition of ALL.SPACE expanding capabilities and market addressable size
- Forward EPS turning positive and revenue growth near 10%
- Continued cash‑flow deficits and elevated debt‑to‑equity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in the growing defense‑space market
- Undervalued book value and attractive price‑to‑book ratio
- Long‑term tailwinds from government contracts and commercial satellite demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin-47.35%
P/E Ratio27.7
Debt/Equity10.36
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-126289000
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.5
Support$14.31
Resistance$25.48
MA 20$18.68
MA 50$24.83
MA 200$26.70
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Target Price$33.44
Upside/Downside127.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.38
Volatility97.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.